A.J. Ewart's one-stroke lead at 11-under after Round 3 at Innisbrook's Copperhead Course anchors his 15.8% implied probability, as the Arizona State amateur's hot putter and seven birdies propelled him atop the Valspar Championship leaderboard. Blades Brown sits one back at 10-under, with Henry Lebioda and Daniel Brown two adrift at nine-under, bunching the top market shares amid a tight top 10 within four shots. Xander Schauffele lurks T5 at seven-under, but the lack of separation reflects traders' caution on the demanding "Snake Pit" finish, where final-round scoring averages exceed 72 and experience often trumps momentum—no major injuries or withdrawals have altered the chase.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedBlades Brown 11.9%
Xander Schauffele 8%
Matt Fitzpatrick 6%
Viktor Hovland 5%
$32,626 Vol.
$32,626 Vol.
Blades Brown
12%
Xander Schauffele
8%
Matt Fitzpatrick
6%
Viktor Hovland
5%
Jacob Bridgeman
4%
Ryo Hisatsune
3%
Patrick Cantlay
3%
Brooks Koepka
3%
Corey Conners
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
2%
Ben Griffin
2%
Ricky Castillo
2%
Taylor Pendrith
2%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Matt McCarty
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
A.J. Ewart
15%
Mac Meissner
1%
Taylor Moore
1%
Max Homa
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Max Greyserman
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Marco Penge
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
David Ford
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Chandler Blanchet
1%
Michael Brennan
1%
John Parry
1%
Lucas Glover
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Adam Hadwin
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Steven Fisk
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Sung-Jae Im
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Eric Cole
1%
Matt Kuchar
<1%
Chad Ramey
<1%
Davis Riley
<1%
Adrien Saddier
<1%
Matthias Schmid
<1%
Luke Clanton
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
<1%
Austin Eckroat
<1%
Doug Ghim
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Stephan Jaeger
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
David Lipsky
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
Paul Peterson
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Lee Hodges
<1%
Mark Hubbard
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Zac Blair
<1%
Jeremy Paul
<1%
Gordon Sargent
<1%
Adam Schenk
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Nick Dunlap
<1%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Joe Highsmith
<1%
Brian Campbell
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Pontus Nyholm
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Marcelo Rozo
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Brice Garnett
<1%
Charley Hoffman
<1%
Jeffrey Kang
<1%
Greg Koch
<1%
Cam Davis
<1%
Henry Lebioda
6%
Daniel Brown
6%
Blades Brown 11.9%
Xander Schauffele 8%
Matt Fitzpatrick 6%
Viktor Hovland 5%
$32,626 Vol.
$32,626 Vol.
Blades Brown
12%
Xander Schauffele
8%
Matt Fitzpatrick
6%
Viktor Hovland
5%
Jacob Bridgeman
4%
Ryo Hisatsune
3%
Patrick Cantlay
3%
Brooks Koepka
3%
Corey Conners
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
2%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
2%
Ben Griffin
2%
Ricky Castillo
2%
Taylor Pendrith
2%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Matt McCarty
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
A.J. Ewart
15%
Mac Meissner
1%
Taylor Moore
1%
Max Homa
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Max Greyserman
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Marco Penge
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
David Ford
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Chandler Blanchet
1%
Michael Brennan
1%
John Parry
1%
Lucas Glover
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Adam Hadwin
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Steven Fisk
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Sung-Jae Im
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Eric Cole
1%
Matt Kuchar
<1%
Chad Ramey
<1%
Davis Riley
<1%
Adrien Saddier
<1%
Matthias Schmid
<1%
Luke Clanton
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
<1%
Austin Eckroat
<1%
Doug Ghim
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Stephan Jaeger
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
David Lipsky
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
Paul Peterson
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Kevin Roy
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Lee Hodges
<1%
Mark Hubbard
<1%
Michael Kim
<1%
Zac Blair
<1%
Jeremy Paul
<1%
Gordon Sargent
<1%
Adam Schenk
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Nick Dunlap
<1%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Joe Highsmith
<1%
Brian Campbell
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Pontus Nyholm
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Marcelo Rozo
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Brice Garnett
<1%
Charley Hoffman
<1%
Jeffrey Kang
<1%
Greg Koch
<1%
Cam Davis
<1%
Henry Lebioda
6%
Daniel Brown
6%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valspar Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valspar Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by March 28, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A.J. Ewart's one-stroke lead at 11-under after Round 3 at Innisbrook's Copperhead Course anchors his 15.8% implied probability, as the Arizona State amateur's hot putter and seven birdies propelled him atop the Valspar Championship leaderboard. Blades Brown sits one back at 10-under, with Henry Lebioda and Daniel Brown two adrift at nine-under, bunching the top market shares amid a tight top 10 within four shots. Xander Schauffele lurks T5 at seven-under, but the lack of separation reflects traders' caution on the demanding "Snake Pit" finish, where final-round scoring averages exceed 72 and experience often trumps momentum—no major injuries or withdrawals have altered the chase.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions