Henry Lebioda tops trader consensus at 19% implied probability for the Valspar Championship, propelled by his sizzling recent form with three straight top-10s, including a runner-up at the Mexico Open, showcasing elite strokes gained approach and putting on Bermuda greens akin to Innisbrook's Copperhead Course. Xander Schauffele (8%) draws support from superior tee-to-green stats and major pedigree, while Adrien Dumont de Chassart (7%) surges on breakout ball-striking amid a strong rookie campaign. Matt Fitzpatrick (6%) and Viktor Hovland (5.5%) benefit from solid Copperhead history—Fitzpatrick's past contention and Hovland's power fade—but Hovland's swing tweaks add uncertainty in this accuracy-driven, wide-open field favoring precision over distance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedXander Schauffele 8%
Matt Fitzpatrick 6%
Viktor Hovland 6%
Jacob Bridgeman 4.5%
$37,123 Vol.
$37,123 Vol.
Xander Schauffele
8%
Matt Fitzpatrick
6%
Viktor Hovland
6%
Jacob Bridgeman
5%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
4%
Brooks Koepka
4%
Patrick Cantlay
3%
Ryo Hisatsune
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
3%
Corey Conners
3%
Ben Griffin
2%
Ricky Castillo
2%
Taylor Pendrith
2%
Matt McCarty
2%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Blades Brown
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
Max Homa
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Taylor Moore
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
Mac Meissner
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Max Greyserman
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Marco Penge
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
1%
Michael Brennan
1%
David Ford
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Davis Riley
1%
Matthias Schmid
1%
Luke Clanton
1%
Lucas Glover
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Sung-Jae Im
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Adam Hadwin
1%
Chandler Blanchet
1%
John Parry
1%
Kevin Roy
1%
Austin Eckroat
1%
Doug Ghim
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
Michael Kim
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Zac Blair
1%
Matt Kuchar
1%
Steven Fisk
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Eric Cole
1%
Chad Ramey
<1%
Adrien Saddier
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
<1%
Stephan Jaeger
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
David Lipsky
<1%
Paul Peterson
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Mark Hubbard
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
Gordon Sargent
<1%
Adam Schenk
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Nick Dunlap
<1%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Brian Campbell
<1%
Joe Highsmith
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Pontus Nyholm
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Jeremy Paul
<1%
Marcelo Rozo
<1%
Brice Garnett
<1%
Charley Hoffman
<1%
Jeffrey Kang
<1%
Greg Koch
<1%
Henry Lebioda
19%
Cam Davis
<1%
Xander Schauffele 8%
Matt Fitzpatrick 6%
Viktor Hovland 6%
Jacob Bridgeman 4.5%
$37,123 Vol.
$37,123 Vol.
Xander Schauffele
8%
Matt Fitzpatrick
6%
Viktor Hovland
6%
Jacob Bridgeman
5%
Adrien Dumont De Chassart
4%
Brooks Koepka
4%
Patrick Cantlay
3%
Ryo Hisatsune
3%
Nicolai Hojgaard
3%
Corey Conners
3%
Ben Griffin
2%
Ricky Castillo
2%
Taylor Pendrith
2%
Matt McCarty
2%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Blades Brown
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Max McGreevy
1%
Max Homa
1%
Akshay Bhatia
1%
Keith Mitchell
1%
Taylor Moore
1%
Keegan Bradley
1%
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
1%
Mac Meissner
1%
Aaron Rai
1%
Pierceson Coody
1%
Bud Cauley
1%
A.J. Ewart
1%
Tony Finau
1%
Billy Horschel
1%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Patrick Rodgers
1%
Max Greyserman
1%
Rico Hoey
1%
Seong-Hyeon Kim
1%
Thorbjorn Olesen
1%
Marco Penge
1%
Kristoffer Reitan
1%
Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
1%
Michael Brennan
1%
David Ford
1%
Mackenzie Hughes
1%
Davis Riley
1%
Matthias Schmid
1%
Luke Clanton
1%
Lucas Glover
1%
Lee Hodges
1%
Sung-Jae Im
1%
Johnny Keefer
1%
Adam Hadwin
1%
Chandler Blanchet
1%
John Parry
1%
Kevin Roy
1%
Austin Eckroat
1%
Doug Ghim
1%
Takumi Kanaya
1%
Michael Kim
1%
Tom Kim
1%
Andrew Novak
1%
Zach Bauchou
1%
Zac Blair
1%
Matt Kuchar
1%
Steven Fisk
1%
Beau Hossler
1%
Eric Cole
1%
Chad Ramey
<1%
Adrien Saddier
<1%
Ze-Cheng Dou
<1%
Stephan Jaeger
<1%
Patton Kizzire
<1%
David Lipsky
<1%
Paul Peterson
<1%
Chandler Phillips
<1%
Isaiah Salinda
<1%
Mark Hubbard
<1%
Matthieu Pavon
<1%
Gordon Sargent
<1%
Adam Schenk
<1%
Rafael Campos
<1%
Davis Chatfield
<1%
Nick Dunlap
<1%
Patrick Fishburn
<1%
Emiliano Grillo
<1%
Garrick Higgo
<1%
Daniel Brown
<1%
Brian Campbell
<1%
Joe Highsmith
<1%
Kensei Hirata
<1%
William Mouw
<1%
Pontus Nyholm
<1%
Peter Malnati
<1%
Jeremy Paul
<1%
Marcelo Rozo
<1%
Brice Garnett
<1%
Charley Hoffman
<1%
Jeffrey Kang
<1%
Greg Koch
<1%
Henry Lebioda
19%
Cam Davis
<1%
If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the Valspar Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".
If an unlisted player wins the Valspar Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If no winner is announced by March 28, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Market Opened: Mar 16, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.pgatour.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Henry Lebioda tops trader consensus at 19% implied probability for the Valspar Championship, propelled by his sizzling recent form with three straight top-10s, including a runner-up at the Mexico Open, showcasing elite strokes gained approach and putting on Bermuda greens akin to Innisbrook's Copperhead Course. Xander Schauffele (8%) draws support from superior tee-to-green stats and major pedigree, while Adrien Dumont de Chassart (7%) surges on breakout ball-striking amid a strong rookie campaign. Matt Fitzpatrick (6%) and Viktor Hovland (5.5%) benefit from solid Copperhead history—Fitzpatrick's past contention and Hovland's power fade—but Hovland's swing tweaks add uncertainty in this accuracy-driven, wide-open field favoring precision over distance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions