Oklahoma's deep Republican lean and long history of strong GOP performance in Senate races anchor trader expectations for a Republican victory in this open-seat contest. The departure of incumbent Markwayne Mullin for a cabinet role has created a primary on June 16 featuring Representative Kevin Hern as the clear frontrunner among Republican candidates, with internal polling showing double-digit leads. Forecasters rate the race as solidly or safely Republican, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and repeated statewide victories for the party. A decisive primary outcome or sustained national environment favoring Republicans would further solidify the position. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an upset in the Republican primary producing a less established nominee or an unusually strong Democratic turnout in the general election, though both remain low-probability shifts given structural factors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$13,531 거래량
$13,531 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
93%
민주당
7%
$13,531 거래량
$13,531 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$8,234 거래량
93%
민주당
$5,296 거래량
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's deep Republican lean and long history of strong GOP performance in Senate races anchor trader expectations for a Republican victory in this open-seat contest. The departure of incumbent Markwayne Mullin for a cabinet role has created a primary on June 16 featuring Representative Kevin Hern as the clear frontrunner among Republican candidates, with internal polling showing double-digit leads. Forecasters rate the race as solidly or safely Republican, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and repeated statewide victories for the party. A decisive primary outcome or sustained national environment favoring Republicans would further solidify the position. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an upset in the Republican primary producing a less established nominee or an unusually strong Democratic turnout in the general election, though both remain low-probability shifts given structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
거래량
$13,531종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's deep Republican lean and long history of strong GOP performance in Senate races anchor trader expectations for a Republican victory in this open-seat contest. The departure of incumbent Markwayne Mullin for a cabinet role has created a primary on June 16 featuring Representative Kevin Hern as the clear frontrunner among Republican candidates, with internal polling showing double-digit leads. Forecasters rate the race as solidly or safely Republican, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and repeated statewide victories for the party. A decisive primary outcome or sustained national environment favoring Republicans would further solidify the position. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an upset in the Republican primary producing a less established nominee or an unusually strong Democratic turnout in the general election, though both remain low-probability shifts given structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$13,531종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's deep Republican lean and long history of strong GOP performance in Senate races anchor trader expectations for a Republican victory in this open-seat contest. The departure of incumbent Markwayne Mullin for a cabinet role has created a primary on June 16 featuring Representative Kevin Hern as the clear frontrunner among Republican candidates, with internal polling showing double-digit leads. Forecasters rate the race as solidly or safely Republican, consistent with the state's partisan voting index and repeated statewide victories for the party. A decisive primary outcome or sustained national environment favoring Republicans would further solidify the position. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an upset in the Republican primary producing a less established nominee or an unusually strong Democratic turnout in the general election, though both remain low-probability shifts given structural factors.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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