Recent SKDS and Gemius polls from late March to early April show a fragmented field for Latvia's October 3 Saeima election under proportional representation, with LPV at 14-15% narrowly ahead of PRO and JV around 9-11%, NA and AS close behind—reflecting voter dissatisfaction with the JV-led government's handling of crises and scandals, boosting populist challengers. Trader consensus favors JV at 35.5% implied probability for most seats due to incumbency advantages, historical polling misses favoring establishments, and superior coalition prospects in a likely hung parliament requiring cross-party deals. LPV's gains risk fading from controversies over its leader's past; separation could arise from economic data, foreign policy shifts on Ukraine aid, or endorsements before summer campaigning intensifies.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트JV 36%
LPV 27%
NA 16%
PLO 14.2%
$60,713 거래량
$60,713 거래량
2026.10.03
JV
36%
LPV
27%
NA
16%
PLO
14%
SV
4%
ZZS
3%
AS
3%
S
2%
ST!
1%
JV 36%
LPV 27%
NA 16%
PLO 14.2%
$60,713 거래량
$60,713 거래량
2026.10.03
JV
$4,935 거래량
36%
LPV
$1,863 거래량
27%
NA
$1,884 거래량
16%
PLO
$798 거래량
14%
SV
$993 거래량
4%
ZZS
$48,232 거래량
3%
AS
$827 거래량
3%
S
$561 거래량
2%
ST!
$621 거래량
1%
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent SKDS and Gemius polls from late March to early April show a fragmented field for Latvia's October 3 Saeima election under proportional representation, with LPV at 14-15% narrowly ahead of PRO and JV around 9-11%, NA and AS close behind—reflecting voter dissatisfaction with the JV-led government's handling of crises and scandals, boosting populist challengers. Trader consensus favors JV at 35.5% implied probability for most seats due to incumbency advantages, historical polling misses favoring establishments, and superior coalition prospects in a likely hung parliament requiring cross-party deals. LPV's gains risk fading from controversies over its leader's past; separation could arise from economic data, foreign policy shifts on Ukraine aid, or endorsements before summer campaigning intensifies.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ET
거래량
$60,713종료일
2026.10.03마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).Recent SKDS and Gemius polls from late March to early April show a fragmented field for Latvia's October 3 Saeima election under proportional representation, with LPV at 14-15% narrowly ahead of PRO and JV around 9-11%, NA and AS close behind—reflecting voter dissatisfaction with the JV-led government's handling of crises and scandals, boosting populist challengers. Trader consensus favors JV at 35.5% implied probability for most seats due to incumbency advantages, historical polling misses favoring establishments, and superior coalition prospects in a likely hung parliament requiring cross-party deals. LPV's gains risk fading from controversies over its leader's past; separation could arise from economic data, foreign policy shifts on Ukraine aid, or endorsements before summer campaigning intensifies.
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties/coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Latvian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves and does not contest this election, the corresponding market will resolve based on the number of seats won by the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Latvian government, specifically the Latvian Central Election Commission (https://www.cvk.lv/lv).
거래량
$60,713종료일
2026.10.03마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 5:21 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent SKDS and Gemius polls from late March to early April show a fragmented field for Latvia's October 3 Saeima election under proportional representation, with LPV at 14-15% narrowly ahead of PRO and JV around 9-11%, NA and AS close behind—reflecting voter dissatisfaction with the JV-led government's handling of crises and scandals, boosting populist challengers. Trader consensus favors JV at 35.5% implied probability for most seats due to incumbency advantages, historical polling misses favoring establishments, and superior coalition prospects in a likely hung parliament requiring cross-party deals. LPV's gains risk fading from controversies over its leader's past; separation could arise from economic data, foreign policy shifts on Ukraine aid, or endorsements before summer campaigning intensifies.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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