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선거·글로벌 선거

케랄라 주 입법의회 선거 승자

Market icon
선거·글로벌 선거

케랄라 주 입법의회 선거 승자

CPI(M) 53%

인도 국민회당(INC) 47%

BJP <1%

BSP <1%

Polymarket

$288,051 거래량

CPI(M) 53%

인도 국민회당(INC) 47%

BJP <1%

BSP <1%

Polymarket

$288,051 거래량

공산당(마르크스주의)(CPI(M))이 2026년 케랄라 입법부 선거에서 최다 의석을 차지할까요? icon

CPI(M)

$35,351 거래량

53%

인도 국민회당(INC)이 2026년 케랄라 주의회 선거에서 최다 의석을 차지할 것인가? icon

인도 국민회당(INC)

$34,853 거래량

47%

2026년 케랄라 입법부 선거에서 바라티야 자나타당(BJP)이 최다 의석을 차지할까요? icon

BJP

$61,445 거래량

1%

바후잔 사마지 파티(BSP)가 2026년 케랄라 주의회 선거에서 가장 많은 의석을 차지할까요? icon

BSP

$13,297 거래량

<1%

2026년 케랄라 입법부 선거에서 인도 공산당(CPI)이 가장 많은 의석을 차지할까요? icon

CPI

$29,084 거래량

<1%

2026년 케랄라 주의회 선거에서 자나타 달(세큘러)(JD(S))가 가장 많은 의석을 차지할까요? icon

JD(S)

$24,403 거래량

<1%

혁명적 사회주의당(RSP)이 2026년 케랄라 주의회 선거에서 최다 의석을 차지할까요? icon

RSP

$14,090 거래량

<1%

2026년 케랄라 주 의회 선거에서 케랄라 콩그레스(M)(KEC(M))가 가장 많은 의석을 차지할까요? icon

KEC(M)

$13,613 거래량

<1%

국민회의당(NCP)이 2026년 케랄라주 입법회 선거에서 최다 의석을 차지할까요? icon

국민회의당(NCP)

$46,976 거래량

<1%

인도 연합 무슬림 연맹(IUML)이 2026년 케랄라 주의회 선거에서 가장 많은 의석을 차지할까요? icon

인도 연합 무슬림 연맹(IUML)

$14,939 거래량

<1%

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Following the April 9 single-phase polling with 77.5% voter turnout across Kerala's 140-seat legislative assembly, trader consensus on Polymarket prices CPI(M)-led LDF at 52% implied probability to secure the most seats over INC-led UDF at 46.5%, capturing the razor-thin bipolar contest amid conflicting pre-poll surveys projecting overlapping ranges like UDF 69-81 versus LDF 57-69 seats. LDF's incumbency advantages, welfare schemes, and stronghold in northern Malabar districts counter anti-incumbency fatigue and UDF's momentum from 2024 Lok Sabha gains, while BJP-led NDA's low 0.3% odds reflect limited spoiler potential despite pushes in Hindu pockets. Pivotal swings in 20 battleground constituencies and minority Christian-Muslim bloc shifts could tip the balance before May 4 counting.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
거래량
$288,051
종료일
2026.04.09
마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Following the April 9 single-phase polling with 77.5% voter turnout across Kerala's 140-seat legislative assembly, trader consensus on Polymarket prices CPI(M)-led LDF at 52% implied probability to secure the most seats over INC-led UDF at 46.5%, capturing the razor-thin bipolar contest amid conflicting pre-poll surveys projecting overlapping ranges like UDF 69-81 versus LDF 57-69 seats. LDF's incumbency advantages, welfare schemes, and stronghold in northern Malabar districts counter anti-incumbency fatigue and UDF's momentum from 2024 Lok Sabha gains, while BJP-led NDA's low 0.3% odds reflect limited spoiler potential despite pushes in Hindu pockets. Pivotal swings in 20 battleground constituencies and minority Christian-Muslim bloc shifts could tip the balance before May 4 counting.

Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
거래량
$288,051
종료일
2026.04.09
마켓 개설일
Dec 23, 2025, 4:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Kerala Legislative Assembly in the 2026 election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. If that also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).

외부 링크에 주의하세요.

자주 묻는 질문

"케랄라 주 입법의회 선거 승자"은 10개의 가능한 결과가 있는 Polymarket의 예측 마켓으로, 트레이더들이 어떤 결과가 발생할지에 따라 주식을 매수 및 매도합니다. 현재 선두 결과는 53%의 "CPI(M)"이며, 이어서 47%의 "인도 국민회당(INC)"입니다. 가격은 실시간 크라우드소싱 확률을 반영합니다. 예를 들어 53¢에 거래되는 주식은 마켓이 해당 결과에 53%의 확률을 부여함을 의미합니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들이 새로운 진전과 정보에 반응함에 따라 지속적으로 변화합니다. 정확한 결과의 주식은 마켓 정산 시 각 $1에 교환 가능합니다.

오늘 현재 "케랄라 주 입법의회 선거 승자"은 총 $288.1K의 거래량을 생성했습니다 마켓이 Dec 23, 2025에 시작된 이후. 이 수준의 거래 활동은 Polymarket 커뮤니티의 강한 참여를 반영하며 현재 확률이 깊은 참가자 풀에 의해 정보에 기반하도록 보장합니다. 이 페이지에서 실시간 가격 변동을 추적하고 모든 결과에 직접 거래할 수 있습니다.

"케랄라 주 입법의회 선거 승자"에서 거래하려면 이 페이지에 나열된 10개의 가용 결과를 탐색하세요. 각 결과에는 마켓의 내재 확률을 나타내는 현재 가격이 표시됩니다. 포지션을 잡으려면 가장 가능성이 높다고 생각하는 결과를 선택하고, 찬성이면 "Yes", 반대이면 "No"를 선택하고, 금액을 입력하고 "거래"를 클릭하세요. 마켓이 정산될 때 선택한 결과가 맞으면 "Yes" 주식은 각 $1을 지급합니다. 틀리면 $0을 지급합니다. 수익을 확정하거나 손실을 줄이고 싶다면 정산 전 언제든지 주식을 매도할 수 있습니다.

"케랄라 주 입법의회 선거 승자"의 현재 유력 후보는 53%의 "CPI(M)"이며, 마켓이 해당 결과에 53%의 확률을 부여합니다. 두 번째로 가까운 결과는 47%의 "인도 국민회당(INC)"입니다. 이 확률은 트레이더들의 주식 매수 및 매도에 따라 실시간으로 업데이트되어 가장 가능성 있는 결과에 대한 최신 집단 시각을 반영합니다. 새로운 정보가 나타남에 따라 확률이 어떻게 변화하는지 자주 확인하거나 이 페이지를 북마크하세요.

"케랄라 주 입법의회 선거 승자"의 정산 규칙은 각 결과가 승자로 선언되기 위해 정확히 무엇이 일어나야 하는지를 정의합니다 — 결과를 결정하는 데 사용되는 공식 데이터 소스를 포함합니다. 이 페이지의 댓글 위 "규칙" 섹션에서 완전한 정산 기준을 검토할 수 있습니다. 거래 전 규칙을 주의 깊게 읽는 것을 권장합니다. 이 마켓이 어떻게 정산되는지를 관리하는 정확한 조건, 예외 사항, 출처를 명시하고 있습니다.