Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 95% trader consensus for victory in Newark's May 12 general election, reflecting his entrenched incumbency advantage after three terms against a fragmented field of minor challengers like Douglas Davis. His April 1 State of the City address, emphasizing progress in public safety, education, economic development, and housing amid "Newark on the rise," has solidified support, bolstered by endorsements such as CWA District 1 and routine campaign visibility. Absent public polls, low-turnout municipal dynamics favor the incumbent's machine. A June 9 runoff requires no majority, but odds imply easy plurality. Upsets hinge on late scandals, election integrity probes gaining traction, or anti-incumbent turnout surges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트라스 바라카 95%
아샤 코츠-햄릿 1.3%
더글라스 데이비스 1.0%
셸라 몬태규 <1%
$17,949 거래량
$17,949 거래량
2026.05.12
라스 바라카
95%
아샤 코츠-햄릿
1%
더글라스 데이비스
1%
셸라 몬태규
1%
나쉬다 싱글턴
1%
자마르 영블러드
<1%
타니샤 가너
<1%
노블 밀턴
<1%
Debra Salters
<1%
루이스 쇼클리
<1%
라스 바라카 95%
아샤 코츠-햄릿 1.3%
더글라스 데이비스 1.0%
셸라 몬태규 <1%
$17,949 거래량
$17,949 거래량
2026.05.12
라스 바라카
$3,384 거래량
95%
아샤 코츠-햄릿
$4,116 거래량
1%
더글라스 데이비스
$869 거래량
1%
셸라 몬태규
$1,313 거래량
1%
나쉬다 싱글턴
$963 거래량
1%
자마르 영블러드
$981 거래량
<1%
타니샤 가너
$965 거래량
<1%
노블 밀턴
$2,994 거래량
<1%
Debra Salters
$972 거래량
<1%
루이스 쇼클리
$1,393 거래량
<1%
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 95% trader consensus for victory in Newark's May 12 general election, reflecting his entrenched incumbency advantage after three terms against a fragmented field of minor challengers like Douglas Davis. His April 1 State of the City address, emphasizing progress in public safety, education, economic development, and housing amid "Newark on the rise," has solidified support, bolstered by endorsements such as CWA District 1 and routine campaign visibility. Absent public polls, low-turnout municipal dynamics favor the incumbent's machine. A June 9 runoff requires no majority, but odds imply easy plurality. Upsets hinge on late scandals, election integrity probes gaining traction, or anti-incumbent turnout surges.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
마켓 개설일: Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ET
거래량
$17,949종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 95% trader consensus for victory in Newark's May 12 general election, reflecting his entrenched incumbency advantage after three terms against a fragmented field of minor challengers like Douglas Davis. His April 1 State of the City address, emphasizing progress in public safety, education, economic development, and housing amid "Newark on the rise," has solidified support, bolstered by endorsements such as CWA District 1 and routine campaign visibility. Absent public polls, low-turnout municipal dynamics favor the incumbent's machine. A June 9 runoff requires no majority, but odds imply easy plurality. Upsets hinge on late scandals, election integrity probes gaining traction, or anti-incumbent turnout surges.
The 2025 Newark mayoral election will be held on May 12, 2026, with a potential runoff scheduled for June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Newark as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Newark.
거래량
$17,949종료일
2026.05.12마켓 개설일
Mar 10, 2026, 7:39 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Mayor Ras Baraka commands 95% trader consensus for victory in Newark's May 12 general election, reflecting his entrenched incumbency advantage after three terms against a fragmented field of minor challengers like Douglas Davis. His April 1 State of the City address, emphasizing progress in public safety, education, economic development, and housing amid "Newark on the rise," has solidified support, bolstered by endorsements such as CWA District 1 and routine campaign visibility. Absent public polls, low-turnout municipal dynamics favor the incumbent's machine. A June 9 runoff requires no majority, but odds imply easy plurality. Upsets hinge on late scandals, election integrity probes gaining traction, or anti-incumbent turnout surges.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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