Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at near-certainty for the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election—its eighth since 2021—following consistent final polls showing 30-32% support, projecting around 90 of 240 seats under proportional representation. This commanding position stems from PB's anti-corruption surge amid public outrage over stalled governance, government resignation in December 2025, and protests, extending a double-digit lead over rivals like GERB–SDS and PP–DB. No party nears the 121-seat majority for outright control, necessitating coalition negotiations post-vote. Rare shifts could arise from late turnout swings, scandals, or fragmented protest votes boosting smaller parties like Vazrazhdane or DPS.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트PB 99.3%
PP–DB <1%
GERB–SDS <1%
DPS <1%
$254,159 거래량
$254,159 거래량

PB
99%

PP–DB
<1%

GERB–SDS
<1%

DPS
<1%

ITN
<1%

벨리치에
<1%

APS
<1%

BSP-연합 좌파
<1%

MECH
<1%

브ъзраждан
<1%
PB 99.3%
PP–DB <1%
GERB–SDS <1%
DPS <1%
$254,159 거래량
$254,159 거래량

PB
99%

PP–DB
<1%

GERB–SDS
<1%

DPS
<1%

ITN
<1%

벨리치에
<1%

APS
<1%

BSP-연합 좌파
<1%

MECH
<1%

브ъзраждан
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
마켓 개설일: Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Progressive Bulgaria (PB), led by former President Rumen Radev, commands trader consensus at near-certainty for the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election—its eighth since 2021—following consistent final polls showing 30-32% support, projecting around 90 of 240 seats under proportional representation. This commanding position stems from PB's anti-corruption surge amid public outrage over stalled governance, government resignation in December 2025, and protests, extending a double-digit lead over rivals like GERB–SDS and PP–DB. No party nears the 121-seat majority for outright control, necessitating coalition negotiations post-vote. Rare shifts could arise from late turnout swings, scandals, or fragmented protest votes boosting smaller parties like Vazrazhdane or DPS.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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