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VIXは6月30日までに50を超えるでしょうか?

Market icon

VIXは6月30日までに50を超えるでしょうか?

はい

30% chance
Polymarket
NEW

はい

30% chance
Polymarket
NEW

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for the CBOE Volatility INDEX (VIX) for any trading day on or before June 30, 2026 is higher than 50.00. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session may still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for a relevant session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid official price published for the regular session as the effective closing price.

This market will resolve as soon as the CBOE Volatility INDEX closes above the listed value, or once the CBOE Volatility INDEX close price for the final trading day on or before June 30, 2026 is published and the listed value has not been reached for the close of any relevant trading day.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the CBOE Volatility INDEX (VIX) prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EVIX/history/, published under "Historical Data."
音量
$537
終了日
Jun 30, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 6, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for the CBOE Volatility INDEX (VIX) for any trading day on or before June 30, 2026 is higher than 50.00. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session may still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for a relevant session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid official price published for the regular session as the effective closing price. This market will resolve as soon as the CBOE Volatility INDEX closes above the listed value, or once the CBOE Volatility INDEX close price for the final trading day on or before June 30, 2026 is published and the listed value has not been reached for the close of any relevant trading day. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the CBOE Volatility INDEX (VIX) prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EVIX/history/, published under "Historical Data."

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for the CBOE Volatility INDEX (VIX) for any trading day on or before June 30, 2026 is higher than 50.00. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If a relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session may still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for a relevant session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid official price published for the regular session as the effective closing price.

This market will resolve as soon as the CBOE Volatility INDEX closes above the listed value, or once the CBOE Volatility INDEX close price for the final trading day on or before June 30, 2026 is published and the listed value has not been reached for the close of any relevant trading day.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the CBOE Volatility INDEX (VIX) prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EVIX/history/, published under "Historical Data."
音量
$537
終了日
Jun 30, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 6, 2026, 1:25 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for the CBOE Volatility INDEX (VIX) for any trading day on or before June 30, 2026 is higher than 50.00. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If a relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session may still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for a relevant session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid official price published for the regular session as the effective closing price. This market will resolve as soon as the CBOE Volatility INDEX closes above the listed value, or once the CBOE Volatility INDEX close price for the final trading day on or before June 30, 2026 is published and the listed value has not been reached for the close of any relevant trading day. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the CBOE Volatility INDEX (VIX) prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EVIX/history/, published under "Historical Data."

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Frequently Asked Questions

"VIXは6月30日までに50を超えるでしょうか?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "VIXは6月30日までに50を超えてクローズしますか?" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 30¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"VIXは6月30日までに50を超えるでしょうか?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "VIXは6月30日までに50を超えるでしょうか?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "VIXは6月30日までに50を超えるでしょうか?" is "VIXは6月30日までに50を超えてクローズしますか?" at 30%, meaning the market assigns a 30% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "VIXは6月30日までに50を超えるでしょうか?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.