The June 17 FOMC decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5-3.75% while revising up inflation projections and signaling possible 2026 hikes amid elevated energy prices has introduced near-term caution for the S&P 500, which closed June 16 near 7,511 after testing the 7,620 high earlier in the month. Trader positioning reflects this pullback from record levels, with equity futures showing modest recovery attempts amid 1% daily swings and concerns over margin compression in rate-sensitive sectors. Strong 2026 EPS growth forecasts near 24% provide underlying support, yet upcoming June CPI, retail sales, and labor data releases before month-end represent key swing factors that could shift implied probabilities around key thresholds like 7,400-7,600.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$476,263 Vol.
2026/06/30
↑ 8,000ドル
1%
↑ $7,850
2%
↑ 7,700ドル
10%
↓ 7,100ドル
14%
↓ $6,900
6%
↓ $6,700
1%
↓ $6,500
1%
↓ 6,300ドル
1%
↓ 6,000ドル
1%
$476,263 Vol.
↑ 8,000ドル
$45,761 Vol.
1%
↑ $7,850
$18,559 Vol.
2%
↑ 7,700ドル
$32,598 Vol.
10%
↓ 7,100ドル
$19,182 Vol.
14%
↓ $6,900
$12,336 Vol.
6%
↓ $6,700
$21,382 Vol.
1%
↓ $6,500
$16,843 Vol.
1%
↓ 6,300ドル
$111,493 Vol.
1%
↓ 6,000ドル
$108,450 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The June 17 FOMC decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5-3.75% while revising up inflation projections and signaling possible 2026 hikes amid elevated energy prices has introduced near-term caution for the S&P 500, which closed June 16 near 7,511 after testing the 7,620 high earlier in the month. Trader positioning reflects this pullback from record levels, with equity futures showing modest recovery attempts amid 1% daily swings and concerns over margin compression in rate-sensitive sectors. Strong 2026 EPS growth forecasts near 24% provide underlying support, yet upcoming June CPI, retail sales, and labor data releases before month-end represent key swing factors that could shift implied probabilities around key thresholds like 7,400-7,600.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 9:32 PM ET
音量
$476,263終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:32 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The June 17 FOMC decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5-3.75% while revising up inflation projections and signaling possible 2026 hikes amid elevated energy prices has introduced near-term caution for the S&P 500, which closed June 16 near 7,511 after testing the 7,620 high earlier in the month. Trader positioning reflects this pullback from record levels, with equity futures showing modest recovery attempts amid 1% daily swings and concerns over margin compression in rate-sensitive sectors. Strong 2026 EPS growth forecasts near 24% provide underlying support, yet upcoming June CPI, retail sales, and labor data releases before month-end represent key swing factors that could shift implied probabilities around key thresholds like 7,400-7,600.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
音量
$476,263終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:32 PM ETThe June 17 FOMC decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.5-3.75% while revising up inflation projections and signaling possible 2026 hikes amid elevated energy prices has introduced near-term caution for the S&P 500, which closed June 16 near 7,511 after testing the 7,620 high earlier in the month. Trader positioning reflects this pullback from record levels, with equity futures showing modest recovery attempts amid 1% daily swings and concerns over margin compression in rate-sensitive sectors. Strong 2026 EPS growth forecasts near 24% provide underlying support, yet upcoming June CPI, retail sales, and labor data releases before month-end represent key swing factors that could shift implied probabilities around key thresholds like 7,400-7,600.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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