Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a fragmented year-end S&P 500 close, with $7,000-$7,500 (24.5%) edging $6,500-$7,000 (22.5%) and <$6,000 (21.0%) amid recent all-time highs near 7,380 driven by record Q1 2026 profit margins at 13.4% and robust earnings growth from AI leaders. Wall Street targets cluster around 7,600-7,700, implying modest 3-5% upside from current levels, tempered by March CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% and Fed funds steady at 3.50%-3.75%, curbing rate-cut bets. Key differentiators include H2 earnings acceleration versus recession risks (23% on related markets) and volatility from geopolitical tensions; watch May CPI (June 10) and FOMC for swings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日6,500〜7,000ドル 27%
7,000～7,500ドル 24%
6,000ドル未満 21%
6,000～6,500ドル 15%
$24,514 Vol.
$24,514 Vol.
2026/12/31
6,000ドル未満
21%
6,000～6,500ドル
26%
6,500〜7,000ドル
27%
7,000～7,500ドル
24%
7,500～8,000ドル
14%
8,000ドル超
14%
6,500〜7,000ドル 27%
7,000～7,500ドル 24%
6,000ドル未満 21%
6,000～6,500ドル 15%
$24,514 Vol.
$24,514 Vol.
2026/12/31
6,000ドル未満
$15,395 Vol.
21%
6,000～6,500ドル
$1,429 Vol.
26%
6,500〜7,000ドル
$2,328 Vol.
27%
7,000～7,500ドル
$1,114 Vol.
24%
7,500～8,000ドル
$2,009 Vol.
14%
8,000ドル超
$2,240 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a fragmented year-end S&P 500 close, with $7,000-$7,500 (24.5%) edging $6,500-$7,000 (22.5%) and <$6,000 (21.0%) amid recent all-time highs near 7,380 driven by record Q1 2026 profit margins at 13.4% and robust earnings growth from AI leaders. Wall Street targets cluster around 7,600-7,700, implying modest 3-5% upside from current levels, tempered by March CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% and Fed funds steady at 3.50%-3.75%, curbing rate-cut bets. Key differentiators include H2 earnings acceleration versus recession risks (23% on related markets) and volatility from geopolitical tensions; watch May CPI (June 10) and FOMC for swings.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
音量
$24,514終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a fragmented year-end S&P 500 close, with $7,000-$7,500 (24.5%) edging $6,500-$7,000 (22.5%) and <$6,000 (21.0%) amid recent all-time highs near 7,380 driven by record Q1 2026 profit margins at 13.4% and robust earnings growth from AI leaders. Wall Street targets cluster around 7,600-7,700, implying modest 3-5% upside from current levels, tempered by March CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% and Fed funds steady at 3.50%-3.75%, curbing rate-cut bets. Key differentiators include H2 earnings acceleration versus recession risks (23% on related markets) and volatility from geopolitical tensions; watch May CPI (June 10) and FOMC for swings.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$24,514終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a fragmented year-end S&P 500 close, with $7,000-$7,500 (24.5%) edging $6,500-$7,000 (22.5%) and <$6,000 (21.0%) amid recent all-time highs near 7,380 driven by record Q1 2026 profit margins at 13.4% and robust earnings growth from AI leaders. Wall Street targets cluster around 7,600-7,700, implying modest 3-5% upside from current levels, tempered by March CPI inflation accelerating to 3.3% and Fed funds steady at 3.50%-3.75%, curbing rate-cut bets. Key differentiators include H2 earnings acceleration versus recession risks (23% on related markets) and volatility from geopolitical tensions; watch May CPI (June 10) and FOMC for swings.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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