Trader sentiment for the S&P 500 year-end 2026 close reflects a balance between robust corporate earnings growth—projected at 25% for the full year—and persistent headwinds from elevated energy prices tied to the ongoing Middle East conflict. With the index near 7,511 in mid-June, market-implied odds favor levels above 7,500, driven by AI-related capital spending and upward EPS revisions, though higher Treasury yields and inflation risks from oil could cap gains. The closely contested distribution across buckets highlights uncertainty around Fed policy responses and earnings sustainability, with traders pricing in probabilities rather than point forecasts amid geopolitical volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日8,000ドル超 29%
7,500～8,000ドル 21%
7,000～7,500ドル 19%
6,500〜7,000ドル 14%
$30,372 Vol.
$30,372 Vol.
2026/12/31
6,000ドル未満
11%
6,000～6,500ドル
12%
6,500〜7,000ドル
14%
7,000～7,500ドル
19%
7,500～8,000ドル
21%
8,000ドル超
29%
8,000ドル超 29%
7,500～8,000ドル 21%
7,000～7,500ドル 19%
6,500〜7,000ドル 14%
$30,372 Vol.
$30,372 Vol.
2026/12/31
6,000ドル未満
$17,468 Vol.
11%
6,000～6,500ドル
$1,838 Vol.
12%
6,500〜7,000ドル
$3,147 Vol.
14%
7,000～7,500ドル
$1,640 Vol.
19%
7,500～8,000ドル
$3,024 Vol.
21%
8,000ドル超
$3,303 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment for the S&P 500 year-end 2026 close reflects a balance between robust corporate earnings growth—projected at 25% for the full year—and persistent headwinds from elevated energy prices tied to the ongoing Middle East conflict. With the index near 7,511 in mid-June, market-implied odds favor levels above 7,500, driven by AI-related capital spending and upward EPS revisions, though higher Treasury yields and inflation risks from oil could cap gains. The closely contested distribution across buckets highlights uncertainty around Fed policy responses and earnings sustainability, with traders pricing in probabilities rather than point forecasts amid geopolitical volatility.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ET
音量
$30,372終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader sentiment for the S&P 500 year-end 2026 close reflects a balance between robust corporate earnings growth—projected at 25% for the full year—and persistent headwinds from elevated energy prices tied to the ongoing Middle East conflict. With the index near 7,511 in mid-June, market-implied odds favor levels above 7,500, driven by AI-related capital spending and upward EPS revisions, though higher Treasury yields and inflation risks from oil could cap gains. The closely contested distribution across buckets highlights uncertainty around Fed policy responses and earnings sustainability, with traders pricing in probabilities rather than point forecasts amid geopolitical volatility.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of December 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$30,372終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:22 PM ETTrader sentiment for the S&P 500 year-end 2026 close reflects a balance between robust corporate earnings growth—projected at 25% for the full year—and persistent headwinds from elevated energy prices tied to the ongoing Middle East conflict. With the index near 7,511 in mid-June, market-implied odds favor levels above 7,500, driven by AI-related capital spending and upward EPS revisions, though higher Treasury yields and inflation risks from oil could cap gains. The closely contested distribution across buckets highlights uncertainty around Fed policy responses and earnings sustainability, with traders pricing in probabilities rather than point forecasts amid geopolitical volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問