The Federal Reserve’s unanimous 25-basis-point rate hike on September 16 to a 3.75-4.00% target range, its first since 2023, has become the dominant driver of S&P 500 sentiment heading into year-end, reflecting elevated August CPI at 3.4% and oil prices above $100 per barrel that pushed 10-year Treasury yields near 5%. Markets initially sold off on the hawkish tone from Chair Warsh but rebounded with tech leadership as oil eased and retail sales beat expectations. With the next FOMC meetings set for late October and December, traders are weighing the risk of additional tightening against resilient earnings growth, particularly in AI-exposed sectors, and current index levels near 7,650.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$373,250 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9,300ドル
5%
↑ $9,000
11%
↑ 8,600ドル
9%
↑ 8,200ドル
27%
↑ $8,000
50%
↓ $7,400
66%
↓ $7,200
43%
↓ $7,000
26%
↓ 6,200ドル
14%
↓ $6,000
9%
↓ 5,800ドル
7%
↓ 5,200ドル
4%
↓ 4,500ドル
4%
$373,250 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$446 Vol.
3%
↑ 9,300ドル
$10,126 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$138 Vol.
11%
↑ 8,600ドル
$31,971 Vol.
9%
↑ 8,200ドル
$23,939 Vol.
27%
↑ $8,000
$583 Vol.
50%
↓ $7,400
$81 Vol.
66%
↓ $7,200
$415 Vol.
43%
↓ $7,000
$2,128 Vol.
26%
↓ 6,200ドル
$61,101 Vol.
14%
↓ $6,000
$4,961 Vol.
9%
↓ 5,800ドル
$44,511 Vol.
7%
↓ 5,200ドル
$70,295 Vol.
4%
↓ 4,500ドル
$62,517 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The Federal Reserve’s unanimous 25-basis-point rate hike on September 16 to a 3.75-4.00% target range, its first since 2023, has become the dominant driver of S&P 500 sentiment heading into year-end, reflecting elevated August CPI at 3.4% and oil prices above $100 per barrel that pushed 10-year Treasury yields near 5%. Markets initially sold off on the hawkish tone from Chair Warsh but rebounded with tech leadership as oil eased and retail sales beat expectations. With the next FOMC meetings set for late October and December, traders are weighing the risk of additional tightening against resilient earnings growth, particularly in AI-exposed sectors, and current index levels near 7,650.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
マーケット開始日： Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
音量
$373,250終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The Federal Reserve’s unanimous 25-basis-point rate hike on September 16 to a 3.75-4.00% target range, its first since 2023, has become the dominant driver of S&P 500 sentiment heading into year-end, reflecting elevated August CPI at 3.4% and oil prices above $100 per barrel that pushed 10-year Treasury yields near 5%. Markets initially sold off on the hawkish tone from Chair Warsh but rebounded with tech leadership as oil eased and retail sales beat expectations. With the next FOMC meetings set for late October and December, traders are weighing the risk of additional tightening against resilient earnings growth, particularly in AI-exposed sectors, and current index levels near 7,650.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
音量
$373,250終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETThe Federal Reserve’s unanimous 25-basis-point rate hike on September 16 to a 3.75-4.00% target range, its first since 2023, has become the dominant driver of S&P 500 sentiment heading into year-end, reflecting elevated August CPI at 3.4% and oil prices above $100 per barrel that pushed 10-year Treasury yields near 5%. Markets initially sold off on the hawkish tone from Chair Warsh but rebounded with tech leadership as oil eased and retail sales beat expectations. With the next FOMC meetings set for late October and December, traders are weighing the risk of additional tightening against resilient earnings growth, particularly in AI-exposed sectors, and current index levels near 7,650.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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