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icon for 12月末までにS&P 500 ( SPX )はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか?

12月末までにS&P 500 ( SPX )はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか?

icon for 12月末までにS&P 500 ( SPX )はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか?

12月末までにS&P 500 ( SPX )はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか?

$70,011 Vol.

2026/12/31
Polymarket

$70,011 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 9,300ドル

$2,571 Vol.

4%

↑ 8,600ドル

$4,359 Vol.

9%

↑ 8,200ドル

$1,441 Vol.

22%

↑ 7,800ドル

$753 Vol.

50%

↑ 7,600ドル

$3,746 Vol.

76%

↑ 7,400ドル

$2,812 Vol.

93%

↓ 6,200ドル

$11,785 Vol.

45%

↓ 5,800ドル

$12,016 Vol.

28%

↓ 5,200ドル

$9,048 Vol.

18%

↓ 4,500ドル

$12,881 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 trades near record highs around 7,350 as of May 7, 2026, reflecting year-to-date gains of approximately 7% driven by robust corporate earnings growth forecasts of 14-16% for the year amid a resilient U.S. economy. Recent sentiment shifted lower following Middle East escalation, including a South Korean ship explosion in the Strait of Hormuz, prompting a pullback from intraday peaks above 7,385. Elevated valuations and geopolitical risks temper upside, with brokerage targets ranging from 7,200 (JPMorgan) to 7,750 (RBC) by year-end. Traders eye Q1 earnings reports this week, April nonfarm payrolls on May 8, and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting for clues on monetary policy amid cooling inflation trends.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
音量
$70,011
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 trades near record highs around 7,350 as of May 7, 2026, reflecting year-to-date gains of approximately 7% driven by robust corporate earnings growth forecasts of 14-16% for the year amid a resilient U.S. economy. Recent sentiment shifted lower following Middle East escalation, including a South Korean ship explosion in the Strait of Hormuz, prompting a pullback from intraday peaks above 7,385. Elevated valuations and geopolitical risks temper upside, with brokerage targets ranging from 7,200 (JPMorgan) to 7,750 (RBC) by year-end. Traders eye Q1 earnings reports this week, April nonfarm payrolls on May 8, and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting for clues on monetary policy amid cooling inflation trends.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
音量
$70,011
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.

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よくある質問

「12月末までにS&P 500 ( SPX )はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか?」はPolymarket上の12個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「↓ $6,600」で100%、次いで「↓ $6,400」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「12月末までにS&P 500 ( SPX )はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか?」は$70Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jan 7, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「12月末までにS&P 500 ( SPX )はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている12個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「12月末までにS&P 500 ( SPX )はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか?」の現在のフロントランナーは「↓ $6,600」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「↓ $6,400」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「12月末までにS&P 500 ( SPX )はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。