Strong corporate earnings growth, with consensus estimates projecting 21-24% EPS expansion for 2026 driven by technology and AI sectors, underpins trader optimism for S&P 500 levels above recent closes near 7,420-7,500. Persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market prompted the Federal Reserve, under new Chair Warsh, to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the June FOMC meeting, with markets pricing limited near-term easing. Elevated oil prices and geopolitical risks add upside pressure to valuations, while analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,600-8,000. Key upcoming catalysts include July FOMC communications, CPI releases, and Q2 earnings season that could shift implied probabilities across price bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$182,986 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ 9,300ドル
6%
↑ 8,600ドル
16%
↑ 8,200ドル
37%
↑ 7,800ドル
75%
↓ 6,200ドル
32%
↓ 5,800ドル
21%
↓ 5,200ドル
12%
↓ 4,500ドル
7%
$182,986 Vol.
↑ 9,300ドル
$3,563 Vol.
6%
↑ 8,600ドル
$13,646 Vol.
16%
↑ 8,200ドル
$5,572 Vol.
37%
↑ 7,800ドル
$4,921 Vol.
75%
↓ 6,200ドル
$26,907 Vol.
32%
↓ 5,800ドル
$23,506 Vol.
21%
↓ 5,200ドル
$29,589 Vol.
12%
↓ 4,500ドル
$24,590 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, with consensus estimates projecting 21-24% EPS expansion for 2026 driven by technology and AI sectors, underpins trader optimism for S&P 500 levels above recent closes near 7,420-7,500. Persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market prompted the Federal Reserve, under new Chair Warsh, to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the June FOMC meeting, with markets pricing limited near-term easing. Elevated oil prices and geopolitical risks add upside pressure to valuations, while analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,600-8,000. Key upcoming catalysts include July FOMC communications, CPI releases, and Q2 earnings season that could shift implied probabilities across price bins.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
音量
$182,986終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, with consensus estimates projecting 21-24% EPS expansion for 2026 driven by technology and AI sectors, underpins trader optimism for S&P 500 levels above recent closes near 7,420-7,500. Persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market prompted the Federal Reserve, under new Chair Warsh, to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the June FOMC meeting, with markets pricing limited near-term easing. Elevated oil prices and geopolitical risks add upside pressure to valuations, while analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,600-8,000. Key upcoming catalysts include July FOMC communications, CPI releases, and Q2 earnings season that could shift implied probabilities across price bins.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
音量
$182,986終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETStrong corporate earnings growth, with consensus estimates projecting 21-24% EPS expansion for 2026 driven by technology and AI sectors, underpins trader optimism for S&P 500 levels above recent closes near 7,420-7,500. Persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market prompted the Federal Reserve, under new Chair Warsh, to hold the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the June FOMC meeting, with markets pricing limited near-term easing. Elevated oil prices and geopolitical risks add upside pressure to valuations, while analyst year-end 2026 targets cluster around 7,600-8,000. Key upcoming catalysts include July FOMC communications, CPI releases, and Q2 earnings season that could shift implied probabilities across price bins.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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