Strong corporate earnings momentum, with S&P 500 companies reporting first-quarter 2026 results roughly 20% above analyst estimates and record profit margins near 13.4%, underpins current index levels near 7,470 as of late May. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% following its April meeting amid sticky inflation readings, including March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year, limiting near-term rate-cut expectations and supporting higher Treasury yields. Equity valuations remain elevated relative to historical norms, though above-trend GDP growth and productivity gains from technology investments have sustained the post-election rally exceeding 25% since late 2024. Traders will monitor the June FOMC meeting, upcoming employment and inflation releases, and any transition in Fed leadership for shifts in monetary policy signals that could influence year-end price targets clustered around 7,500-7,800.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$116,212 Vol.
2026/12/31
↑ 9,300ドル
6%
↑ 8,600ドル
17%
↑ 8,200ドル
41%
↑ 7,800ドル
67%
↑ 7,600ドル
89%
↓ 6,200ドル
32%
↓ 5,800ドル
24%
↓ 5,200ドル
12%
↓ 4,500ドル
9%
$116,212 Vol.
↑ 9,300ドル
$3,190 Vol.
6%
↑ 8,600ドル
$11,002 Vol.
17%
↑ 8,200ドル
$4,190 Vol.
41%
↑ 7,800ドル
$2,685 Vol.
67%
↑ 7,600ドル
$8,353 Vol.
89%
↓ 6,200ドル
$17,510 Vol.
32%
↓ 5,800ドル
$19,132 Vol.
24%
↓ 5,200ドル
$14,907 Vol.
12%
↓ 4,500ドル
$17,717 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings momentum, with S&P 500 companies reporting first-quarter 2026 results roughly 20% above analyst estimates and record profit margins near 13.4%, underpins current index levels near 7,470 as of late May. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% following its April meeting amid sticky inflation readings, including March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year, limiting near-term rate-cut expectations and supporting higher Treasury yields. Equity valuations remain elevated relative to historical norms, though above-trend GDP growth and productivity gains from technology investments have sustained the post-election rally exceeding 25% since late 2024. Traders will monitor the June FOMC meeting, upcoming employment and inflation releases, and any transition in Fed leadership for shifts in monetary policy signals that could influence year-end price targets clustered around 7,500-7,800.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ET
音量
$116,212終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings momentum, with S&P 500 companies reporting first-quarter 2026 results roughly 20% above analyst estimates and record profit margins near 13.4%, underpins current index levels near 7,470 as of late May. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% following its April meeting amid sticky inflation readings, including March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year, limiting near-term rate-cut expectations and supporting higher Treasury yields. Equity valuations remain elevated relative to historical norms, though above-trend GDP growth and productivity gains from technology investments have sustained the post-election rally exceeding 25% since late 2024. Traders will monitor the June FOMC meeting, upcoming employment and inflation releases, and any transition in Fed leadership for shifts in monetary policy signals that could influence year-end price targets clustered around 7,500-7,800.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
音量
$116,212終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:31 PM ETStrong corporate earnings momentum, with S&P 500 companies reporting first-quarter 2026 results roughly 20% above analyst estimates and record profit margins near 13.4%, underpins current index levels near 7,470 as of late May. The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50-3.75% following its April meeting amid sticky inflation readings, including March CPI at 3.3% year-over-year, limiting near-term rate-cut expectations and supporting higher Treasury yields. Equity valuations remain elevated relative to historical norms, though above-trend GDP growth and productivity gains from technology investments have sustained the post-election rally exceeding 25% since late 2024. Traders will monitor the June FOMC meeting, upcoming employment and inflation releases, and any transition in Fed leadership for shifts in monetary policy signals that could influence year-end price targets clustered around 7,500-7,800.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問