The Nasdaq 100 index, closing above 24,100 on April 1, 2026, reflects trader consensus buoyed by robust AI-driven earnings growth from mega-cap constituents like Nvidia and Microsoft amid Q1 reporting season, offsetting recent volatility from Middle East geopolitical tensions and resurgent inflation fears. Year-to-date, the tech-heavy benchmark has rebounded sharply, snapping a five-week skid with a 1.6% gain that day, as sector margins expand despite elevated valuations trading at 30x forward earnings. Analyst estimates project end-2026 levels around 28,000-30,000, implying 15-25% upside, hinged on sustained revenue beats and Fed policy stability. Key near-term catalysts include Friday's nonfarm payrolls and Services PMI data, plus ongoing Big Tech earnings, with any labor market softening potentially spurring rate cut expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
2026/12/31
38,000ドル超
27%
33,000ドル超
6%
30,000ドル超
9%
27,000ドル超
22%
24,000ドル超
42%
19,000ドル超
82%
$5,062 Vol.
38,000ドル超
$1,454 Vol.
27%
33,000ドル超
$1,248 Vol.
6%
30,000ドル超
$596 Vol.
9%
27,000ドル超
$65 Vol.
22%
24,000ドル超
$548 Vol.
42%
19,000ドル超
$1,151 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."The Nasdaq 100 index, closing above 24,100 on April 1, 2026, reflects trader consensus buoyed by robust AI-driven earnings growth from mega-cap constituents like Nvidia and Microsoft amid Q1 reporting season, offsetting recent volatility from Middle East geopolitical tensions and resurgent inflation fears. Year-to-date, the tech-heavy benchmark has rebounded sharply, snapping a five-week skid with a 1.6% gain that day, as sector margins expand despite elevated valuations trading at 30x forward earnings. Analyst estimates project end-2026 levels around 28,000-30,000, implying 15-25% upside, hinged on sustained revenue beats and Fed policy stability. Key near-term catalysts include Friday's nonfarm payrolls and Services PMI data, plus ongoing Big Tech earnings, with any labor market softening potentially spurring rate cut expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ET
音量
$5,062終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."The Nasdaq 100 index, closing above 24,100 on April 1, 2026, reflects trader consensus buoyed by robust AI-driven earnings growth from mega-cap constituents like Nvidia and Microsoft amid Q1 reporting season, offsetting recent volatility from Middle East geopolitical tensions and resurgent inflation fears. Year-to-date, the tech-heavy benchmark has rebounded sharply, snapping a five-week skid with a 1.6% gain that day, as sector margins expand despite elevated valuations trading at 30x forward earnings. Analyst estimates project end-2026 levels around 28,000-30,000, implying 15-25% upside, hinged on sustained revenue beats and Fed policy stability. Key near-term catalysts include Friday's nonfarm payrolls and Services PMI data, plus ongoing Big Tech earnings, with any labor market softening potentially spurring rate cut expectations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$5,062終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ETThe Nasdaq 100 index, closing above 24,100 on April 1, 2026, reflects trader consensus buoyed by robust AI-driven earnings growth from mega-cap constituents like Nvidia and Microsoft amid Q1 reporting season, offsetting recent volatility from Middle East geopolitical tensions and resurgent inflation fears. Year-to-date, the tech-heavy benchmark has rebounded sharply, snapping a five-week skid with a 1.6% gain that day, as sector margins expand despite elevated valuations trading at 30x forward earnings. Analyst estimates project end-2026 levels around 28,000-30,000, implying 15-25% upside, hinged on sustained revenue beats and Fed policy stability. Key near-term catalysts include Friday's nonfarm payrolls and Services PMI data, plus ongoing Big Tech earnings, with any labor market softening potentially spurring rate cut expectations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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