The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) has declined approximately 9% year-to-date through late March 2026, entering correction territory near 23,740 close on March 31 amid profit-taking in Magnificent Seven stocks that erased over $850 billion in market value, driven by concerns over stretched valuations despite robust AI revenue growth. Trader consensus reflects caution on near-term volatility, with the index's 52-week high at 26,182 underscoring rotation risks, yet stable Fed funds rate of 3.50%-3.75%—unchanged in March—and February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year bolster soft-landing expectations. Key catalysts include March CPI release on April 10, Q1 earnings from Nvidia and peers starting mid-April, and the April 29-30 FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate rate cut probabilities and influence year-end positioning above historical base rates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日新規
2026/12/31
38,000ドル超
8%
33,000ドル超
6%
30,000ドル超
13%
27,000ドル超
27%
24,000ドル超
44%
19,000ドル超
82%
$2,827 Vol.
38,000ドル超
$1,108 Vol.
8%
33,000ドル超
$0 Vol.
6%
30,000ドル超
$0 Vol.
13%
27,000ドル超
$31 Vol.
27%
24,000ドル超
$546 Vol.
44%
19,000ドル超
$1,141 Vol.
82%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) has declined approximately 9% year-to-date through late March 2026, entering correction territory near 23,740 close on March 31 amid profit-taking in Magnificent Seven stocks that erased over $850 billion in market value, driven by concerns over stretched valuations despite robust AI revenue growth. Trader consensus reflects caution on near-term volatility, with the index's 52-week high at 26,182 underscoring rotation risks, yet stable Fed funds rate of 3.50%-3.75%—unchanged in March—and February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year bolster soft-landing expectations. Key catalysts include March CPI release on April 10, Q1 earnings from Nvidia and peers starting mid-April, and the April 29-30 FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate rate cut probabilities and influence year-end positioning above historical base rates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ET
音量
$2,827終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) has declined approximately 9% year-to-date through late March 2026, entering correction territory near 23,740 close on March 31 amid profit-taking in Magnificent Seven stocks that erased over $850 billion in market value, driven by concerns over stretched valuations despite robust AI revenue growth. Trader consensus reflects caution on near-term volatility, with the index's 52-week high at 26,182 underscoring rotation risks, yet stable Fed funds rate of 3.50%-3.75%—unchanged in March—and February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year bolster soft-landing expectations. Key catalysts include March CPI release on April 10, Q1 earnings from Nvidia and peers starting mid-April, and the April 29-30 FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate rate cut probabilities and influence year-end positioning above historical base rates.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) on the final trading day of December 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Nasdaq 100 (NDX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$2,827終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:37 PM ETThe Nasdaq 100 (NDX) has declined approximately 9% year-to-date through late March 2026, entering correction territory near 23,740 close on March 31 amid profit-taking in Magnificent Seven stocks that erased over $850 billion in market value, driven by concerns over stretched valuations despite robust AI revenue growth. Trader consensus reflects caution on near-term volatility, with the index's 52-week high at 26,182 underscoring rotation risks, yet stable Fed funds rate of 3.50%-3.75%—unchanged in March—and February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year bolster soft-landing expectations. Key catalysts include March CPI release on April 10, Q1 earnings from Nvidia and peers starting mid-April, and the April 29-30 FOMC meeting, which could recalibrate rate cut probabilities and influence year-end positioning above historical base rates.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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