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財務·株式

3月のS&P 500 （ SPX ）の終値は？

Market icon
財務·株式

3月のS&P 500 （ SPX ）の終値は？

Mar 31

Dec 31

Mar 31

Dec 31

$6,400未満 29%

6,500～6,600ドル 25%

$6,400～$6,500 25%

6,700〜6,800ドル 16%

Polymarket
NEW

$6,400未満 29%

6,500～6,600ドル 25%

$6,400～$6,500 25%

6,700〜6,800ドル 16%

Polymarket
NEW

$6,400未満

$928 Vol.

27%

$6,400～$6,500

$130 Vol.

25%

6,500～6,600ドル

$943 Vol.

25%

6,600～6,700ドル

$57 Vol.

16%

6,700〜6,800ドル

$580 Vol.

11%

6,800～6,900ドル

$1,103 Vol.

4%

$6,900〜$7,000

$0 Vol.

2%

7,000〜7,100ドル

$37 Vol.

1%

7,100〜7,200ドル

$0 Vol.

1%

7,200～7,300ドル

$0 Vol.

<1%

7,300ドル超

$206 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket's trader consensus prices a razor-thin race for the S&P 500's March end-of-month close, with $6,500-$6,600 at 27.5% implied probability slightly ahead of <$6,400 (25.5%) and $6,400-$6,500 (25.0%), reflecting equilibrated sentiment after the index pulled back from post-election highs above 6,000. Surging megacap tech earnings and two Federal Reserve rate cuts since September fueled optimism for continued gains amid pro-growth policy expectations, but hotter December CPI (up 0.3% monthly) and elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3% have heightened recession fears, pressuring valuations at 22x forward earnings. Key differentiators include upcoming February nonfarm payrolls and March 19 FOMC meeting, where softer labor data could cement rate-cut bets and lift probabilities higher, while sticky inflation might solidify the sub-$6,400 camp.

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."
音量
$3,984
終了日
Mar 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 3:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket's trader consensus prices a razor-thin race for the S&P 500's March end-of-month close, with $6,500-$6,600 at 27.5% implied probability slightly ahead of <$6,400 (25.5%) and $6,400-$6,500 (25.0%), reflecting equilibrated sentiment after the index pulled back from post-election highs above 6,000. Surging megacap tech earnings and two Federal Reserve rate cuts since September fueled optimism for continued gains amid pro-growth policy expectations, but hotter December CPI (up 0.3% monthly) and elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3% have heightened recession fears, pressuring valuations at 22x forward earnings. Key differentiators include upcoming February nonfarm payrolls and March 19 FOMC meeting, where softer labor data could cement rate-cut bets and lift probabilities higher, while sticky inflation might solidify the sub-$6,400 camp.

Polymarket's trader consensus prices a razor-thin race for the S&P 500's March end-of-month close, with $6,500-$6,600 at 27.5% implied probability slightly ahead of <$6,400 (25.5%) and $6,400-$6,500 (25.0%), reflecting equilibrated sentiment after the index pulled back from post-election highs above 6,000. Surging megacap tech earnings and two Federal Reserve rate cuts since September fueled optimism for continued gains amid pro-growth policy expectations, but hotter December CPI (up 0.3% monthly) and elevated 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3% have heightened recession fears, pressuring valuations at 22x forward earnings. Key differentiators include upcoming February nonfarm payrolls and March 19 FOMC meeting, where softer labor data could cement rate-cut bets and lift probabilities higher, while sticky inflation might solidify the sub-$6,400 camp.

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よくある質問

「3月のS&P 500 （ SPX ）の終値は？」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「$6,400未満」で28%、次いで「$6,400～$6,500」が25%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、28¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に28%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「3月のS&P 500 （ SPX ）の終値は？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Mar 3, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「3月のS&P 500 （ SPX ）の終値は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月のS&P 500 （ SPX ）の終値は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「$6,400未満」で28%であり、市場がこの結果に28%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「$6,400～$6,500」で25%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月のS&P 500 （ SPX ）の終値は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。