The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) has surged to record highs above 20,600 as of early December 2024, propelled by robust Big Tech earnings—particularly Nvidia's 94% revenue growth and AI infrastructure demand—amid cooling inflation and expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut at the December 18 FOMC meeting. Trader sentiment reflects optimism from post-election policy tailwinds under President Trump, including potential tax cuts and deregulation boosting risk assets, with 10-year Treasury yields dipping below 4.3% signaling accommodative monetary conditions. Key upcoming catalysts include December 11 CPI data, projected at 2.7% year-over-year, and Q4 earnings from Tesla and others; a softer print could reinforce rate-cut bets, while sticky inflation risks capping gains near 21,000. Prediction markets aggregate real-money trader consensus on year-end thresholds amid elevated volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$19,039 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ 45,000ドル
44%
↑ 39,000ドル
44%
↑ 35,000ドル
39%
↑ 32,000ドル
13%
↑ 30,000ドル
25%
↑ 28,500ドル
39%
↓ 23,000ドル
62%
↓ 21,000ドル
54%
↓ 18,000ドル
35%
↓ $15,000
46%
$19,039 Vol.
↑ 45,000ドル
$0 Vol.
44%
↑ 39,000ドル
$0 Vol.
44%
↑ 35,000ドル
$0 Vol.
39%
↑ 32,000ドル
$0 Vol.
13%
↑ 30,000ドル
$0 Vol.
25%
↑ 28,500ドル
$0 Vol.
39%
↓ 23,000ドル
$0 Vol.
62%
↓ 21,000ドル
$0 Vol.
54%
↓ 18,000ドル
$0 Vol.
35%
↓ $15,000
$0 Vol.
46%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) has surged to record highs above 20,600 as of early December 2024, propelled by robust Big Tech earnings—particularly Nvidia's 94% revenue growth and AI infrastructure demand—amid cooling inflation and expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut at the December 18 FOMC meeting. Trader sentiment reflects optimism from post-election policy tailwinds under President Trump, including potential tax cuts and deregulation boosting risk assets, with 10-year Treasury yields dipping below 4.3% signaling accommodative monetary conditions. Key upcoming catalysts include December 11 CPI data, projected at 2.7% year-over-year, and Q4 earnings from Tesla and others; a softer print could reinforce rate-cut bets, while sticky inflation risks capping gains near 21,000. Prediction markets aggregate real-money trader consensus on year-end thresholds amid elevated volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.
マーケット開始日： Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ET
音量
$19,039終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) has surged to record highs above 20,600 as of early December 2024, propelled by robust Big Tech earnings—particularly Nvidia's 94% revenue growth and AI infrastructure demand—amid cooling inflation and expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut at the December 18 FOMC meeting. Trader sentiment reflects optimism from post-election policy tailwinds under President Trump, including potential tax cuts and deregulation boosting risk assets, with 10-year Treasury yields dipping below 4.3% signaling accommodative monetary conditions. Key upcoming catalysts include December 11 CPI data, projected at 2.7% year-over-year, and Q4 earnings from Tesla and others; a softer print could reinforce rate-cut bets, while sticky inflation risks capping gains near 21,000. Prediction markets aggregate real-money trader consensus on year-end thresholds amid elevated volatility.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/.
音量
$19,039終了日
Dec 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Jan 6, 2026, 9:39 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Nasdaq 100 (NDX) has surged to record highs above 20,600 as of early December 2024, propelled by robust Big Tech earnings—particularly Nvidia's 94% revenue growth and AI infrastructure demand—amid cooling inflation and expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut at the December 18 FOMC meeting. Trader sentiment reflects optimism from post-election policy tailwinds under President Trump, including potential tax cuts and deregulation boosting risk assets, with 10-year Treasury yields dipping below 4.3% signaling accommodative monetary conditions. Key upcoming catalysts include December 11 CPI data, projected at 2.7% year-over-year, and Q4 earnings from Tesla and others; a softer print could reinforce rate-cut bets, while sticky inflation risks capping gains near 21,000. Prediction markets aggregate real-money trader consensus on year-end thresholds amid elevated volatility.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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