Recent Bloomberg reporting and supply chain updates have kept Apple's first foldable iPhone—widely expected as the iPhone Ultra or iPhone Fold—on track for a September 2026 announcement alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup, driving the market's strong 86% implied probability of a pre-2027 release. Analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and multiple sources cite ongoing production ramp-up for a book-style design with advanced hinge and display features, despite earlier April reports of engineering hurdles that Bloomberg later clarified as non-disruptive. Limited initial supply remains possible, but the timeline aligns with Apple's typical fall cadence and positions the device well ahead of 2027 thresholds. Key near-term catalysts include any further design leaks or component yield updates ahead of the annual September event.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$172,457 Vol.
$172,457 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$172,457 Vol.
$172,457 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Bloomberg reporting and supply chain updates have kept Apple's first foldable iPhone—widely expected as the iPhone Ultra or iPhone Fold—on track for a September 2026 announcement alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup, driving the market's strong 86% implied probability of a pre-2027 release. Analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and multiple sources cite ongoing production ramp-up for a book-style design with advanced hinge and display features, despite earlier April reports of engineering hurdles that Bloomberg later clarified as non-disruptive. Limited initial supply remains possible, but the timeline aligns with Apple's typical fall cadence and positions the device well ahead of 2027 thresholds. Key near-term catalysts include any further design leaks or component yield updates ahead of the annual September event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
音量
$172,457終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Bloomberg reporting and supply chain updates have kept Apple's first foldable iPhone—widely expected as the iPhone Ultra or iPhone Fold—on track for a September 2026 announcement alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup, driving the market's strong 86% implied probability of a pre-2027 release. Analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and multiple sources cite ongoing production ramp-up for a book-style design with advanced hinge and display features, despite earlier April reports of engineering hurdles that Bloomberg later clarified as non-disruptive. Limited initial supply remains possible, but the timeline aligns with Apple's typical fall cadence and positions the device well ahead of 2027 thresholds. Key near-term catalysts include any further design leaks or component yield updates ahead of the annual September event.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$172,457終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Bloomberg reporting and supply chain updates have kept Apple's first foldable iPhone—widely expected as the iPhone Ultra or iPhone Fold—on track for a September 2026 announcement alongside the iPhone 18 Pro lineup, driving the market's strong 86% implied probability of a pre-2027 release. Analysts including Ming-Chi Kuo and multiple sources cite ongoing production ramp-up for a book-style design with advanced hinge and display features, despite earlier April reports of engineering hurdles that Bloomberg later clarified as non-disruptive. Limited initial supply remains possible, but the timeline aligns with Apple's typical fall cadence and positions the device well ahead of 2027 thresholds. Key near-term catalysts include any further design leaks or component yield updates ahead of the annual September event.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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