Recent analyst reports and supply chain updates have strengthened trader consensus around an 86% implied probability for a foldable iPhone launch before 2027, with most credible sources now pointing to a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and multiple DigiTimes and MacRumors updates in May and early June affirm that production remains on track despite earlier engineering snags reported in April, including hinge and display issues that could have delayed shipments. This timeline aligns with Apple’s pattern of integrating major hardware innovations into fall lineups while addressing competitive pressure from Samsung and Google foldables. Key remaining catalysts include final supply-chain certifications and any last-minute production adjustments that could still shift the device into early 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日はい
$172,457 Vol.
$172,457 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$172,457 Vol.
$172,457 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent analyst reports and supply chain updates have strengthened trader consensus around an 86% implied probability for a foldable iPhone launch before 2027, with most credible sources now pointing to a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and multiple DigiTimes and MacRumors updates in May and early June affirm that production remains on track despite earlier engineering snags reported in April, including hinge and display issues that could have delayed shipments. This timeline aligns with Apple’s pattern of integrating major hardware innovations into fall lineups while addressing competitive pressure from Samsung and Google foldables. Key remaining catalysts include final supply-chain certifications and any last-minute production adjustments that could still shift the device into early 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ET
音量
$172,457終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent analyst reports and supply chain updates have strengthened trader consensus around an 86% implied probability for a foldable iPhone launch before 2027, with most credible sources now pointing to a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and multiple DigiTimes and MacRumors updates in May and early June affirm that production remains on track despite earlier engineering snags reported in April, including hinge and display issues that could have delayed shipments. This timeline aligns with Apple’s pattern of integrating major hardware innovations into fall lineups while addressing competitive pressure from Samsung and Google foldables. Key remaining catalysts include final supply-chain certifications and any last-minute production adjustments that could still shift the device into early 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$172,457終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Dec 12, 2025, 1:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent analyst reports and supply chain updates have strengthened trader consensus around an 86% implied probability for a foldable iPhone launch before 2027, with most credible sources now pointing to a September 2026 debut alongside the iPhone 18 Pro models. Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and multiple DigiTimes and MacRumors updates in May and early June affirm that production remains on track despite earlier engineering snags reported in April, including hinge and display issues that could have delayed shipments. This timeline aligns with Apple’s pattern of integrating major hardware innovations into fall lineups while addressing competitive pressure from Samsung and Google foldables. Key remaining catalysts include final supply-chain certifications and any last-minute production adjustments that could still shift the device into early 2027.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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