Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Austin metro median home value on April 1 in the 410-420k range, with 415-420k leading at 42.6% implied probability over 410-415k at 33.4%, reflecting a tight contest between persistent supply pressures and resilient demand fundamentals. Zillow's latest March Home Value Index pegged the figure at approximately $417k, down 1.1% month-over-month amid 18% year-over-year inventory growth and mortgage rates hovering near 7%, prompting more price concessions in sales data. However, steady tech sector job additions and in-migration from high-cost metros provide counterbalance, capping downside risk below 410k while limiting upside beyond 425k absent Fed rate cuts. Key swing factor: April nonfarm payrolls and CPI releases influencing rate expectations before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月1日のテキサス州オースティン大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？
4月1日のテキサス州オースティン大都市圏の住宅価格の中央値はいくらになりますか？
41万〜41万5,000ドル 31.2%
415万～420万ドル 27.8%
405～410千ドル 11%
42万〜42万5千ドル 10.4%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
40万ドル未満
1%
40万～40万5千ドル
3%
405～410千ドル
11%
41万〜41万5,000ドル
31%
415万～420万ドル
44%
42万〜42万5千ドル
10%
42万5,000ドル超
6%
41万〜41万5,000ドル 31.2%
415万～420万ドル 27.8%
405～410千ドル 11%
42万〜42万5千ドル 10.4%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
40万ドル未満
$282 Vol.
1%
40万～40万5千ドル
$422 Vol.
3%
405～410千ドル
$1,329 Vol.
11%
41万〜41万5,000ドル
$2,231 Vol.
31%
415万～420万ドル
$482 Vol.
44%
42万〜42万5千ドル
$573 Vol.
10%
42万5,000ドル超
$276 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Austin metro median home value on April 1 in the 410-420k range, with 415-420k leading at 42.6% implied probability over 410-415k at 33.4%, reflecting a tight contest between persistent supply pressures and resilient demand fundamentals. Zillow's latest March Home Value Index pegged the figure at approximately $417k, down 1.1% month-over-month amid 18% year-over-year inventory growth and mortgage rates hovering near 7%, prompting more price concessions in sales data. However, steady tech sector job additions and in-migration from high-cost metros provide counterbalance, capping downside risk below 410k while limiting upside beyond 425k absent Fed rate cuts. Key swing factor: April nonfarm payrolls and CPI releases influencing rate expectations before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)
マーケット開始日： Feb 27, 2026, 6:06 PM ET
音量
$5,596終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Austin metro median home value on April 1 in the 410-420k range, with 415-420k leading at 42.6% implied probability over 410-415k at 33.4%, reflecting a tight contest between persistent supply pressures and resilient demand fundamentals. Zillow's latest March Home Value Index pegged the figure at approximately $417k, down 1.1% month-over-month amid 18% year-over-year inventory growth and mortgage rates hovering near 7%, prompting more price concessions in sales data. However, steady tech sector job additions and in-migration from high-cost metros provide counterbalance, capping downside risk below 410k while limiting upside beyond 425k absent Fed rate cuts. Key swing factor: April nonfarm payrolls and CPI releases influencing rate expectations before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on April 1, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on April 1, 2026. If no data for April 1 is released by April 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/19)
音量
$5,596終了日
Apr 1, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 27, 2026, 6:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Austin metro median home value on April 1 in the 410-420k range, with 415-420k leading at 42.6% implied probability over 410-415k at 33.4%, reflecting a tight contest between persistent supply pressures and resilient demand fundamentals. Zillow's latest March Home Value Index pegged the figure at approximately $417k, down 1.1% month-over-month amid 18% year-over-year inventory growth and mortgage rates hovering near 7%, prompting more price concessions in sales data. However, steady tech sector job additions and in-migration from high-cost metros provide counterbalance, capping downside risk below 410k while limiting upside beyond 425k absent Fed rate cuts. Key swing factor: April nonfarm payrolls and CPI releases influencing rate expectations before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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