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財務·株式

3月のS&P 500 （ SPX ）の終値は？

Market icon
財務·株式

3月のS&P 500 （ SPX ）の終値は？

Mar 31

Dec 31

Mar 31

Dec 31

$6,400～$6,500 15%

6,500～6,600ドル 12%

6,600～6,700ドル 4%

$6,900〜$7,000 2.5%

Polymarket

$10,469 Vol.

$6,400～$6,500 15%

6,500～6,600ドル 12%

6,600～6,700ドル 4%

$6,900〜$7,000 2.5%

Polymarket

$10,469 Vol.

$6,400未満

$1,159 Vol.

41%

$6,400～$6,500

$3,518 Vol.

15%

6,500～6,600ドル

$2,058 Vol.

12%

6,600～6,700ドル

$384 Vol.

9%

6,700〜6,800ドル

$644 Vol.

2%

6,800～6,900ドル

$1,351 Vol.

2%

$6,900〜$7,000

$281 Vol.

2%

7,000〜7,100ドル

$445 Vol.

1%

7,100〜7,200ドル

$133 Vol.

1%

7,200～7,300ドル

$116 Vol.

<1%

7,300ドル超

$381 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 37.5% probability for the S&P 500 closing below $6,400 at March's end, reflecting the index's recent plunge to 6,368.85 on March 27—down 1.7% that day and 6.5% over the past four weeks—driven by the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% amid sticky inflation signals and heightened economic uncertainty. Rising Treasury yields post-FOMC, coupled with quarter-end volatility and lingering geopolitical risks from Iran tensions, have eroded year-to-date gains, concentrating sentiment in lower bins like $6,400-$6,500 (15%). With only March 28 and 31 trading sessions left, focus shifts to potential rebalancing flows and final PCE data implications for April policy outlook.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 37.5% probability for the S&P 500 closing below $6,400 at March's end, reflecting the index's recent plunge to 6,368.85 on March 27—down 1.7% that day and 6.5% over the past four weeks—driven by the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% amid sticky inflation signals and heightened economic uncertainty. Rising Treasury yields post-FOMC, coupled with quarter-end volatility and lingering geopolitical risks from Iran tensions, have eroded year-to-date gains, concentrating sentiment in lower bins like $6,400-$6,500 (15%). With only March 28 and 31 trading sessions left, focus shifts to potential rebalancing flows and final PCE data implications for April policy outlook.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on the final trading day of March 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid recorded price in March as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the S&P 500 (SPX) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/history, published under "Historical Prices."Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 37.5% probability for the S&P 500 closing below $6,400 at March's end, reflecting the index's recent plunge to 6,368.85 on March 27—down 1.7% that day and 6.5% over the past four weeks—driven by the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% amid sticky inflation signals and heightened economic uncertainty. Rising Treasury yields post-FOMC, coupled with quarter-end volatility and lingering geopolitical risks from Iran tensions, have eroded year-to-date gains, concentrating sentiment in lower bins like $6,400-$6,500 (15%). With only March 28 and 31 trading sessions left, focus shifts to potential rebalancing flows and final PCE data implications for April policy outlook.

Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 37.5% probability for the S&P 500 closing below $6,400 at March's end, reflecting the index's recent plunge to 6,368.85 on March 27—down 1.7% that day and 6.5% over the past four weeks—driven by the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75% amid sticky inflation signals and heightened economic uncertainty. Rising Treasury yields post-FOMC, coupled with quarter-end volatility and lingering geopolitical risks from Iran tensions, have eroded year-to-date gains, concentrating sentiment in lower bins like $6,400-$6,500 (15%). With only March 28 and 31 trading sessions left, focus shifts to potential rebalancing flows and final PCE data implications for April policy outlook.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「3月のS&P 500 （ SPX ）の終値は？」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「$6,400未満」で41%、次いで「$6,400～$6,500」が14%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、41¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に41%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「3月のS&P 500 （ SPX ）の終値は？」は$10.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「3月のS&P 500 （ SPX ）の終値は？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月のS&P 500 （ SPX ）の終値は？」の現在のフロントランナーは「$6,400未満」で41%であり、市場がこの結果に41%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「$6,400～$6,500」で14%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月のS&P 500 （ SPX ）の終値は？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。