Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a modest 35% probability for Tesla (TSLA) stock exceeding $400 by March 2026, reflecting tempered optimism amid execution risks despite the October 10 Cybercab robotaxi unveiling targeting unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) production in 2026. Current shares trade near $260 following a post-event rally, buoyed by potential $1T+ autonomy revenue projections from analysts like ARK Invest, but pressured by Q3 delivery misses (462K vs. 466K expected) and shrinking auto gross margins at 17.1%. Key catalysts include October 23 earnings for FSD adoption updates and regulatory progress, with China competition and high interest rates capping near-term EV demand—traders eye $200 support and $350 resistance as pivotal levels.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日$236,681 Vol.
↑ 570ドル
<1%
↑ 533ドル
<1%
↑ 503ドル
1%
↑ 473ドル
4%
↑ 450ドル
7%
↑ 435ドル
7%
↑ 420ドル
13%
↓ $353
44%
↓ 330ドル
10%
↓ 300ドル
4%
↓ $263
<1%
$236,681 Vol.
↑ 570ドル
<1%
↑ 533ドル
<1%
↑ 503ドル
1%
↑ 473ドル
4%
↑ 450ドル
7%
↑ 435ドル
7%
↑ 420ドル
13%
↓ $353
44%
↓ 330ドル
10%
↓ 300ドル
4%
↓ $263
<1%
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
マーケット開始日: Feb 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a modest 35% probability for Tesla (TSLA) stock exceeding $400 by March 2026, reflecting tempered optimism amid execution risks despite the October 10 Cybercab robotaxi unveiling targeting unsupervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) production in 2026. Current shares trade near $260 following a post-event rally, buoyed by potential $1T+ autonomy revenue projections from analysts like ARK Invest, but pressured by Q3 delivery misses (462K vs. 466K expected) and shrinking auto gross margins at 17.1%. Key catalysts include October 23 earnings for FSD adoption updates and regulatory progress, with China competition and high interest rates capping near-term EV demand—traders eye $200 support and $350 resistance as pivotal levels.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問