Zelenskyy's recent Easter ceasefire proposal, including an energy truce across frontline sectors, was swiftly rejected by Russia, which dismissed it as a PR stunt while claiming advances in Luhansk amid ongoing military action. US negotiators held positive talks with Zelenskyy on peace processes, but Washington has conditioned security guarantees on Ukraine ceding full control of Donbas to Russia—a demand Kyiv resists, drawing public criticism from the Ukrainian president. European leaders urged an immediate unconditional ceasefire, yet trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US discussions remain stalled without breakthroughs. Traders weigh US leverage via aid and intelligence against Russia's maximalist territorial claims, with no official Ukrainian endorsement of a US-backed framework; upcoming envoy meetings could signal shifts before any resolution deadline.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日ウクライナは、米国が支援する停戦枠組みに正式に同意した... ?
ウクライナは、米国が支援する停戦枠組みに正式に同意した... ?
$1,508,517 Vol.
6月30日
8%
$1,508,517 Vol.
6月30日
8%
A qualifying peace framework is any publicly announced plan, roadmap, or framework intended as the basis for ending the war, provided that the United States formally endorses it and Ukraine officially agrees to it through one of the following:
1. A written or signed framework-related instrument issued or signed by Ukraine that affirms agreement with the U.S.-endorsed framework.
2. An official U.S.–Ukraine announcement — defined as an official government-issued declaration, such as a joint statement, communiqué, or coordinated official releases, explicitly stating that Ukraine has agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework. The announcement must be issued through authorized government channels, including official written releases or formally published transcripts by the White House, State Department, Office of the President of Ukraine, Cabinet of Ministers, or Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Verbal (including interviews or remarks during bilateral meetings) and social-media claims by either leader will not qualify unless later issued in an official written or published form by the respective government. The U.S. President or any US government official publicly stating that “an agreement has been reached,” without a corresponding formal release or communiqué, will not qualify; the same applies to statements by the Ukrainian President or Ukrainian officials.
3. A formally issued Ukrainian governmental action — including a presidential decree, Cabinet resolution, or National Security and Defense Council decision — explicitly stating that Ukraine agrees to the U.S.-endorsed framework.
The primary resolution source will be official government documents, statements, decrees, and credible reporting confirming that Ukraine officially agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework under the standards above.
マーケット開始日: Feb 3, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying peace framework is any publicly announced plan, roadmap, or framework intended as the basis for ending the war, provided that the United States formally endorses it and Ukraine officially agrees to it through one of the following:
1. A written or signed framework-related instrument issued or signed by Ukraine that affirms agreement with the U.S.-endorsed framework.
2. An official U.S.–Ukraine announcement — defined as an official government-issued declaration, such as a joint statement, communiqué, or coordinated official releases, explicitly stating that Ukraine has agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework. The announcement must be issued through authorized government channels, including official written releases or formally published transcripts by the White House, State Department, Office of the President of Ukraine, Cabinet of Ministers, or Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Verbal (including interviews or remarks during bilateral meetings) and social-media claims by either leader will not qualify unless later issued in an official written or published form by the respective government. The U.S. President or any US government official publicly stating that “an agreement has been reached,” without a corresponding formal release or communiqué, will not qualify; the same applies to statements by the Ukrainian President or Ukrainian officials.
3. A formally issued Ukrainian governmental action — including a presidential decree, Cabinet resolution, or National Security and Defense Council decision — explicitly stating that Ukraine agrees to the U.S.-endorsed framework.
The primary resolution source will be official government documents, statements, decrees, and credible reporting confirming that Ukraine officially agreed to a U.S.-endorsed peace framework under the standards above.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Zelenskyy's recent Easter ceasefire proposal, including an energy truce across frontline sectors, was swiftly rejected by Russia, which dismissed it as a PR stunt while claiming advances in Luhansk amid ongoing military action. US negotiators held positive talks with Zelenskyy on peace processes, but Washington has conditioned security guarantees on Ukraine ceding full control of Donbas to Russia—a demand Kyiv resists, drawing public criticism from the Ukrainian president. European leaders urged an immediate unconditional ceasefire, yet trilateral Russia-Ukraine-US discussions remain stalled without breakthroughs. Traders weigh US leverage via aid and intelligence against Russia's maximalist territorial claims, with no official Ukrainian endorsement of a US-backed framework; upcoming envoy meetings could signal shifts before any resolution deadline.
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