Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 11–13°C highs for Toronto on March 26, driven by the latest Environment Canada and global model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) forecasting mild conditions under a persistent upper-level ridge ushering southerly flow. These outcomes lead due to a narrow model spread of 10–14°C, with 12°C edging ahead on drier scenarios favoring solar heating. Differentiating factors include subtle cloud cover variations—ECMWF leans clearer for 13°C potential—versus GFS timing of a weak frontal boundary capping at 11°C, amid typical late-March volatility where 2-meter temperature forecasts carry ±2°C uncertainty. Historical March norms (~6°C) underscore the anomalous warmth, but no extreme signals elevate tails. Key watch: afternoon observations resolving by 6 PM ET.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月26日のトロントの最高気温は?
3月26日のトロントの最高気温は?
12°C 22.4%
11°C 21%
13°C 17%
14℃ 10.3%
$20,414 Vol.
$20,414 Vol.
8℃以下
5%
9℃
5%
10℃
5%
11°C
21%
12°C
27%
13°C
17%
14℃
10%
15°C
6%
16℃
1%
17°C
1%
18℃以上
1%
12°C 22.4%
11°C 21%
13°C 17%
14℃ 10.3%
$20,414 Vol.
$20,414 Vol.
8℃以下
5%
9℃
5%
10℃
5%
11°C
21%
12°C
27%
13°C
17%
14℃
10%
15°C
6%
16℃
1%
17°C
1%
18℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 11–13°C highs for Toronto on March 26, driven by the latest Environment Canada and global model ensembles (ECMWF, GFS) forecasting mild conditions under a persistent upper-level ridge ushering southerly flow. These outcomes lead due to a narrow model spread of 10–14°C, with 12°C edging ahead on drier scenarios favoring solar heating. Differentiating factors include subtle cloud cover variations—ECMWF leans clearer for 13°C potential—versus GFS timing of a weak frontal boundary capping at 11°C, amid typical late-March volatility where 2-meter temperature forecasts carry ±2°C uncertainty. Historical March norms (~6°C) underscore the anomalous warmth, but no extreme signals elevate tails. Key watch: afternoon observations resolving by 6 PM ET.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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