The near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 76-77°F high in San Francisco on March 27 stems from the official National Weather Service observation at San Francisco International Airport (SFO), where the Automated Surface Observing System recorded a maximum of 77°F amid mostly cloudy skies. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA and ECMWF forecast model consensus projecting mid-to-upper 70s under a persistent high-pressure ridge, following an intense early-March heat wave that shattered records up to 89°F at SFO before marine layer moderation set in. Such positioning reflects aggregated trader confidence in verified ASOS data, well above the March climatological normal of 63°F. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, limited to rare NWS data revisions from sensor anomalies, with final CLI report confirming resolution shortly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 27?
76-77°F 100.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82°F or higher <1%
$110,620 Vol.
$110,620 Vol.
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
76-77°F 100.0%
78-79°F <1%
80-81°F <1%
82°F or higher <1%
$110,620 Vol.
$110,620 Vol.
76-77°F
100%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
The near-unanimous trader consensus at 100% implied probability for a 76-77°F high in San Francisco on March 27 stems from the official National Weather Service observation at San Francisco International Airport (SFO), where the Automated Surface Observing System recorded a maximum of 77°F amid mostly cloudy skies. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA and ECMWF forecast model consensus projecting mid-to-upper 70s under a persistent high-pressure ridge, following an intense early-March heat wave that shattered records up to 89°F at SFO before marine layer moderation set in. Such positioning reflects aggregated trader confidence in verified ASOS data, well above the March climatological normal of 63°F. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, limited to rare NWS data revisions from sensor anomalies, with final CLI report confirming resolution shortly.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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