Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Paris high temperature of 11°C at 48% implied probability, ahead of 10°C at 31%, driven by Météo-France's latest forecast projecting a maximum around 12°C amid overcast skies and scattered showers, coupled with current observations reaching 11°C by mid-afternoon at stations like Montsouris. A recent influx of cold northerly air since March 26 has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms, with cloudy conditions limiting solar heating and ECMWF/GFS ensemble models showing minimal late-day warming potential. Official monitoring continues through evening, with resolution based on verified highs from Paris reference stations; any unexpected clearing could nudge toward 12°C, though persistent cloud cover favors the lower cluster.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?
11°C 50%
10°C 33%
12°C 16%
13°C 2.4%
$59,719 Vol.
$59,719 Vol.
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
33%
11°C
50%
12°C
16%
13°C
2%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 50%
10°C 33%
12°C 16%
13°C 2.4%
$59,719 Vol.
$59,719 Vol.
8°C
1%
9°C
2%
10°C
33%
11°C
50%
12°C
16%
13°C
2%
14°C
1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Paris high temperature of 11°C at 48% implied probability, ahead of 10°C at 31%, driven by Météo-France's latest forecast projecting a maximum around 12°C amid overcast skies and scattered showers, coupled with current observations reaching 11°C by mid-afternoon at stations like Montsouris. A recent influx of cold northerly air since March 26 has suppressed temperatures below seasonal norms, with cloudy conditions limiting solar heating and ECMWF/GFS ensemble models showing minimal late-day warming potential. Official monitoring continues through evening, with resolution based on verified highs from Paris reference stations; any unexpected clearing could nudge toward 12°C, though persistent cloud cover favors the lower cluster.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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