Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service forecast for New York City (Central Park), projecting a high temperature of 51-53°F on March 29, driven by a lingering upper-level trough ushering cooler Canadian air masses southward after a recent weak frontal passage. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows means clustered around 52°F, with minor spread due to uncertainties in morning cloud cover and diurnal heating potential amid light southerly winds. This positions 50-51°F (27%) and 52-53°F (25%) as leaders, differentiated by subtle model biases—GFS slightly warmer, Euro cooler—against March climatology averaging 52°F highs. New 12z model runs expected today could refine odds further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?
50-51°F 27%
52-53°F 26%
54-55°F 15%
48-49°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Mar 29, 2026
47°F or below
10%
48-49°F
13%
50-51°F
27%
52-53°F
26%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
7%
58-59°F
6%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F or higher
<1%
50-51°F 27%
52-53°F 26%
54-55°F 15%
48-49°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Mar 29, 2026
47°F or below
$592 Vol.
10%
48-49°F
$411 Vol.
13%
50-51°F
$1,412 Vol.
27%
52-53°F
$479 Vol.
26%
54-55°F
$782 Vol.
19%
56-57°F
$260 Vol.
7%
58-59°F
$254 Vol.
6%
60-61°F
$433 Vol.
2%
62-63°F
$282 Vol.
1%
64-65°F
$287 Vol.
<1%
66°F or higher
$472 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service forecast for New York City (Central Park), projecting a high temperature of 51-53°F on March 29, driven by a lingering upper-level trough ushering cooler Canadian air masses southward after a recent weak frontal passage. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows means clustered around 52°F, with minor spread due to uncertainties in morning cloud cover and diurnal heating potential amid light southerly winds. This positions 50-51°F (27%) and 52-53°F (25%) as leaders, differentiated by subtle model biases—GFS slightly warmer, Euro cooler—against March climatology averaging 52°F highs. New 12z model runs expected today could refine odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$5,662終了日
Mar 29, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service forecast for New York City (Central Park), projecting a high temperature of 51-53°F on March 29, driven by a lingering upper-level trough ushering cooler Canadian air masses southward after a recent weak frontal passage. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows means clustered around 52°F, with minor spread due to uncertainties in morning cloud cover and diurnal heating potential amid light southerly winds. This positions 50-51°F (27%) and 52-53°F (25%) as leaders, differentiated by subtle model biases—GFS slightly warmer, Euro cooler—against March climatology averaging 52°F highs. New 12z model runs expected today could refine odds further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5,662終了日
Mar 29, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the latest National Weather Service forecast for New York City (Central Park), projecting a high temperature of 51-53°F on March 29, driven by a lingering upper-level trough ushering cooler Canadian air masses southward after a recent weak frontal passage. Ensemble model guidance from ECMWF and GFS shows means clustered around 52°F, with minor spread due to uncertainties in morning cloud cover and diurnal heating potential amid light southerly winds. This positions 50-51°F (27%) and 52-53°F (25%) as leaders, differentiated by subtle model biases—GFS slightly warmer, Euro cooler—against March climatology averaging 52°F highs. New 12z model runs expected today could refine odds further.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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