Latest National Weather Service guidance for New York City shows a cooldown to the low-mid 50s°F on April 7 following a cold frontal passage after this weekend's warm highs near 70°F, with model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF converging on peaks of 50-55°F to drive the trader consensus favoring 52-53°F at 27% implied probability closely trailed by adjacent bins. Differentiating factors include timing of post-frontal clearing, potential lingering low clouds suppressing highs toward 48-51°F, versus stronger afternoon mixing under westerly winds boosting to 54-57°F; climatological April 7 average nears 57°F but current upper trough favors below-normal temps. Watch for 12Z model updates and NWS afternoon forecast refinements amid typical 3-day uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in NYC on April 7?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 7?
52-53°F 28%
50-51°F 20%
48-49°F 18%
54-55°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
41°F or below
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
3%
46-47°F
9%
48-49°F
18%
50-51°F
20%
52-53°F
28%
54-55°F
13%
56-57°F
11%
58-59°F
2%
60°F or higher
5%
52-53°F 28%
50-51°F 20%
48-49°F 18%
54-55°F 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/07
41°F or below
$2,652 Vol.
1%
42-43°F
$408 Vol.
1%
44-45°F
$370 Vol.
3%
46-47°F
$266 Vol.
9%
48-49°F
$226 Vol.
18%
50-51°F
$334 Vol.
20%
52-53°F
$457 Vol.
28%
54-55°F
$216 Vol.
13%
56-57°F
$222 Vol.
11%
58-59°F
$372 Vol.
2%
60°F or higher
$823 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for New York City shows a cooldown to the low-mid 50s°F on April 7 following a cold frontal passage after this weekend's warm highs near 70°F, with model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF converging on peaks of 50-55°F to drive the trader consensus favoring 52-53°F at 27% implied probability closely trailed by adjacent bins. Differentiating factors include timing of post-frontal clearing, potential lingering low clouds suppressing highs toward 48-51°F, versus stronger afternoon mixing under westerly winds boosting to 54-57°F; climatological April 7 average nears 57°F but current upper trough favors below-normal temps. Watch for 12Z model updates and NWS afternoon forecast refinements amid typical 3-day uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
音量
$6,346終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance for New York City shows a cooldown to the low-mid 50s°F on April 7 following a cold frontal passage after this weekend's warm highs near 70°F, with model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF converging on peaks of 50-55°F to drive the trader consensus favoring 52-53°F at 27% implied probability closely trailed by adjacent bins. Differentiating factors include timing of post-frontal clearing, potential lingering low clouds suppressing highs toward 48-51°F, versus stronger afternoon mixing under westerly winds boosting to 54-57°F; climatological April 7 average nears 57°F but current upper trough favors below-normal temps. Watch for 12Z model updates and NWS afternoon forecast refinements amid typical 3-day uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$6,346終了日
2026/04/07マーケット開始日
Apr 3, 2026, 6:02 AM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance for New York City shows a cooldown to the low-mid 50s°F on April 7 following a cold frontal passage after this weekend's warm highs near 70°F, with model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF converging on peaks of 50-55°F to drive the trader consensus favoring 52-53°F at 27% implied probability closely trailed by adjacent bins. Differentiating factors include timing of post-frontal clearing, potential lingering low clouds suppressing highs toward 48-51°F, versus stronger afternoon mixing under westerly winds boosting to 54-57°F; climatological April 7 average nears 57°F but current upper trough favors below-normal temps. Watch for 12Z model updates and NWS afternoon forecast refinements amid typical 3-day uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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