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Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

82-83°F 99.8%

84-85°F <1%

86-87°F <1%

88-89°F <1%

Polymarket

$117,267 Vol.

82-83°F 99.8%

84-85°F <1%

86-87°F <1%

88-89°F <1%

Polymarket

$117,267 Vol.

82-83°F

$21,663 Vol.

100%

84-85°F

$13,031 Vol.

<1%

86-87°F

$6,426 Vol.

<1%

88-89°F

$6,924 Vol.

<1%

90°F or higher

$4,774 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 82-83°F at 99.8% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on March 27, anchored by Weather Underground's official KMIA station data recording a peak of 82°F around midday. This aligns precisely with the National Weather Service's March climatological normal of 82°F maximum, amid easterly winds up to 16 mph advecting cooler maritime air from the Atlantic and partial cloud cover capping solar insolation to prevent stronger heating. Historical March highs at KMIA average in the low 80s, with no anomalous warmth from ENSO-neutral conditions. Scenarios challenging this include minor post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—but NWS preliminary reports (84°F nearby) show close alignment, rendering shifts improbable as the market nears resolution.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 82-83°F at 99.8% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on March 27, anchored by Weather Underground's official KMIA station data recording a peak of 82°F around midday. This aligns precisely with the National Weather Service's March climatological normal of 82°F maximum, amid easterly winds up to 16 mph advecting cooler maritime air from the Atlantic and partial cloud cover capping solar insolation to prevent stronger heating. Historical March highs at KMIA average in the low 80s, with no anomalous warmth from ENSO-neutral conditions. Scenarios challenging this include minor post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—but NWS preliminary reports (84°F nearby) show close alignment, rendering shifts improbable as the market nears resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 82-83°F at 99.8% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on March 27, anchored by Weather Underground's official KMIA station data recording a peak of 82°F around midday. This aligns precisely with the National Weather Service's March climatological normal of 82°F maximum, amid easterly winds up to 16 mph advecting cooler maritime air from the Atlantic and partial cloud cover capping solar insolation to prevent stronger heating. Historical March highs at KMIA average in the low 80s, with no anomalous warmth from ENSO-neutral conditions. Scenarios challenging this include minor post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—but NWS preliminary reports (84°F nearby) show close alignment, rendering shifts improbable as the market nears resolution.

Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs 82-83°F at 99.8% implied probability for Miami's highest temperature on March 27, anchored by Weather Underground's official KMIA station data recording a peak of 82°F around midday. This aligns precisely with the National Weather Service's March climatological normal of 82°F maximum, amid easterly winds up to 16 mph advecting cooler maritime air from the Atlantic and partial cloud cover capping solar insolation to prevent stronger heating. Historical March highs at KMIA average in the low 80s, with no anomalous warmth from ENSO-neutral conditions. Scenarios challenging this include minor post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—but NWS preliminary reports (84°F nearby) show close alignment, rendering shifts improbable as the market nears resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?」はPolymarket上の11個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「82-83°F」で100%、次いで「84-85°F」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?」は$117.3Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている11個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?」の現在のフロントランナーは「82-83°F」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「84-85°F」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。