Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 82-83°F (37%) as Miami's highest temperature on March 27, closely followed by 80-81°F (27%), reflecting the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance indicating a high near 83°F under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Recent developments include a departing cool front on March 25 that cleared lingering clouds, allowing a building upper-level ridge over Florida to promote daytime heating, with sea surface temperatures around 78°F supporting mild warmth. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 82°F, above the March climatological average of 80°F, though diel timing and any late-afternoon sea breeze could cap peaks. New 12Z forecast updates expected midday March 27 may refine these market-implied odds amid inherent model uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 12%
78-79°F 10%
$19,446 Vol.
$19,446 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 37%
80-81°F 27%
84-85°F 12%
78-79°F 10%
$19,446 Vol.
$19,446 Vol.
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
37%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 82-83°F (37%) as Miami's highest temperature on March 27, closely followed by 80-81°F (27%), reflecting the latest National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance indicating a high near 83°F under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. Recent developments include a departing cool front on March 25 that cleared lingering clouds, allowing a building upper-level ridge over Florida to promote daytime heating, with sea surface temperatures around 78°F supporting mild warmth. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight clustering around 82°F, above the March climatological average of 80°F, though diel timing and any late-afternoon sea breeze could cap peaks. New 12Z forecast updates expected midday March 27 may refine these market-implied odds amid inherent model uncertainty.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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