Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the authoritative station for resolution, recorded the highest temperature on April 1, 2026, at 78-79°F, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as markets await final ratification. This reading fell below the April climatological normal of 82°F due to persistent east winds of 10-15 mph gusting over 20 mph, scattered showers, and increased cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event NOAA forecast models showing capped peaks in the upper 70s to low 80s. While inherent uncertainties in real-time measurements exist, realistic challenges to this positioning would require rare NWS data revisions from quality control or sensor anomalies, with no such flags reported yet.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Miami on April 1?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 1?
78〜79°F 100.0%
華氏73度以下 <1%
74〜75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$260,049 Vol.
$260,049 Vol.
華氏73度以下
いいえ
74〜75°F
いいえ
76-77°F
No
78〜79°F
はい
80〜81°F
いいえ
82-83°F
No
84~85°F
いいえ
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90〜91°F
いいえ
92°F or higher
No
78〜79°F 100.0%
華氏73度以下 <1%
74〜75°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$260,049 Vol.
$260,049 Vol.
華氏73度以下
いいえ
74〜75°F
いいえ
76-77°F
No
78〜79°F
はい
80〜81°F
いいえ
82-83°F
No
84~85°F
いいえ
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90〜91°F
いいえ
92°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 28, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Official National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA), the authoritative station for resolution, recorded the highest temperature on April 1, 2026, at 78-79°F, driving trader consensus to 100% on this outcome as markets await final ratification. This reading fell below the April climatological normal of 82°F due to persistent east winds of 10-15 mph gusting over 20 mph, scattered showers, and increased cloud cover that suppressed daytime heating, aligning with pre-event NOAA forecast models showing capped peaks in the upper 70s to low 80s. While inherent uncertainties in real-time measurements exist, realistic challenges to this positioning would require rare NWS data revisions from quality control or sensor anomalies, with no such flags reported yet.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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