Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 10°C (59%) in London on March 26, driven by the latest Met Office forecast models showing a daytime high peaking around 10°C amid persistent low cloud cover and light northerly winds suppressing warmer air advection. ECMWF and GFS ensembles align closely, with 80% of members clustering between 9–11°C, reflecting cooler-than-average March conditions influenced by a blocking high over Scandinavia steering Atlantic moisture southward. Recent 24-hour updates from observational data at Heathrow—London's reference station—confirm overnight lows near 6°C, consistent with limited diurnal warming under overcast skies. Resolution hinges on official measured max at Heathrow or central London stations; expect final clarity post-midnight March 27 as data finalizes, though model uncertainty remains within ±1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月26日のロンドンの最高気温は?
3月26日のロンドンの最高気温は?
10°C 60%
9°C 21%
11°C 16%
12°C 3.0%
$124,308 Vol.
$124,308 Vol.
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8℃
1%
9°C
21%
10°C
60%
11°C
16%
12°C
3%
13℃以上
<1%
10°C 60%
9°C 21%
11°C 16%
12°C 3.0%
$124,308 Vol.
$124,308 Vol.
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8℃
1%
9°C
21%
10°C
60%
11°C
16%
12°C
3%
13℃以上
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 22, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 10°C (59%) in London on March 26, driven by the latest Met Office forecast models showing a daytime high peaking around 10°C amid persistent low cloud cover and light northerly winds suppressing warmer air advection. ECMWF and GFS ensembles align closely, with 80% of members clustering between 9–11°C, reflecting cooler-than-average March conditions influenced by a blocking high over Scandinavia steering Atlantic moisture southward. Recent 24-hour updates from observational data at Heathrow—London's reference station—confirm overnight lows near 6°C, consistent with limited diurnal warming under overcast skies. Resolution hinges on official measured max at Heathrow or central London stations; expect final clarity post-midnight March 27 as data finalizes, though model uncertainty remains within ±1–2°C.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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