Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 15°C as London's highest temperature on March 23, driven by the UK Met Office's latest forecast models projecting a daytime maximum of exactly 15°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns with ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS, which show tight clustering around 14-16°C amid a mild Atlantic airflow, consistent with March's climatological average high of 11-12°C but elevated by recent high-pressure influences. Supporting evidence includes real-time observations from Heathrow and Gatwick stations trending 1-2°C below recent days' peaks. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly wind shift pulling warmer continental air, potentially pushing temps to 17°C+, or urban heat island effects inflating central London readings—though model divergence remains low at under 10%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月23日のロンドンの最高気温は？
3月23日のロンドンの最高気温は？
15°C 100.0%
9℃以下 <1%
10℃ <1%
11°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 23, 2026
9℃以下
いいえ
10℃
いいえ
11°C
いいえ
12°C
いいえ
13°C
いいえ
14°C
いいえ
15°C
はい
16°C
いいえ
17℃
いいえ
18°C
いいえ
19°C以上
いいえ
15°C 100.0%
9℃以下 <1%
10℃ <1%
11°C <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 23, 2026
9℃以下
$0 Vol.
いいえ
10℃
$0 Vol.
いいえ
11°C
$0 Vol.
いいえ
12°C
$0 Vol.
いいえ
13°C
$0 Vol.
いいえ
14°C
$0 Vol.
いいえ
15°C
$0 Vol.
はい
16°C
$0 Vol.
いいえ
17℃
$0 Vol.
いいえ
18°C
$0 Vol.
いいえ
19°C以上
$0 Vol.
いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 15°C as London's highest temperature on March 23, driven by the UK Met Office's latest forecast models projecting a daytime maximum of exactly 15°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns with ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS, which show tight clustering around 14-16°C amid a mild Atlantic airflow, consistent with March's climatological average high of 11-12°C but elevated by recent high-pressure influences. Supporting evidence includes real-time observations from Heathrow and Gatwick stations trending 1-2°C below recent days' peaks. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly wind shift pulling warmer continental air, potentially pushing temps to 17°C+, or urban heat island effects inflating central London readings—though model divergence remains low at under 10%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
音量
$0終了日
Mar 23, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 15°C as London's highest temperature on March 23, driven by the UK Met Office's latest forecast models projecting a daytime maximum of exactly 15°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns with ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS, which show tight clustering around 14-16°C amid a mild Atlantic airflow, consistent with March's climatological average high of 11-12°C but elevated by recent high-pressure influences. Supporting evidence includes real-time observations from Heathrow and Gatwick stations trending 1-2°C below recent days' peaks. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly wind shift pulling warmer continental air, potentially pushing temps to 17°C+, or urban heat island effects inflating central London readings—though model divergence remains low at under 10%.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$0終了日
Mar 23, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 19, 2026, 6:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: いいえ
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: いいえ
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 15°C as London's highest temperature on March 23, driven by the UK Met Office's latest forecast models projecting a daytime maximum of exactly 15°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns with ensemble predictions from ECMWF and GFS, which show tight clustering around 14-16°C amid a mild Atlantic airflow, consistent with March's climatological average high of 11-12°C but elevated by recent high-pressure influences. Supporting evidence includes real-time observations from Heathrow and Gatwick stations trending 1-2°C below recent days' peaks. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen southerly wind shift pulling warmer continental air, potentially pushing temps to 17°C+, or urban heat island effects inflating central London readings—though model divergence remains low at under 10%.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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