Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 56-57°F in Atlanta on March 18, driven by converging forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) models, which project a lingering cool air mass under high pressure with light winds limiting daytime heating. Official National Weather Service outlooks confirm this range, aligning with recent soundings showing stable boundary layers capping temperatures below 58°F, consistent with Atlanta's climatological March highs averaging 62°F but moderated by current jet stream positioning. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen breakdown of the surface ridge allowing warm advection from the south or model underestimation of solar insolation on clearer skies, though ensemble probabilities remain low at under 1% for 58-59°F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 18?
Highest temperature in Atlanta on March 18?
56-57°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$8,895 Vol.
$8,895 Vol.
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
56-57°F 100.0%
43°F or below <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$8,895 Vol.
$8,895 Vol.
43°F or below
No
44-45°F
No
46-47°F
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
Yes
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Mar 14, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...提案された結果: No
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: No
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a high temperature of 56-57°F in Atlanta on March 18, driven by converging forecasts from NOAA's Global Forecast System (GFS) and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) models, which project a lingering cool air mass under high pressure with light winds limiting daytime heating. Official National Weather Service outlooks confirm this range, aligning with recent soundings showing stable boundary layers capping temperatures below 58°F, consistent with Atlanta's climatological March highs averaging 62°F but moderated by current jet stream positioning. Realistic challenges include an unforeseen breakdown of the surface ridge allowing warm advection from the south or model underestimation of solar insolation on clearer skies, though ensemble probabilities remain low at under 1% for 58-59°F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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