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政治·プライマリ

CA-19 Primary Winners

icon for CA-19 Primary Winners
政治·プライマリ

CA-19 Primary Winners

新規
2026/06/02
Polymarket

$5,964 Vol.

Polymarket

Jimmy Panetta

$3,231 Vol.

98%

Peter Verbica

$200 Vol.

53%

Sean Dougherty

$55 Vol.

28%

Tuka Gafari

$882 Vol.

8%

Ana Luz Acevedo-Cabrera

$192 Vol.

4%

Lars Mapstead

$55 Vol.

2%

Thomas Coxe

$1,350 Vol.

1%

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democratic Representative Jimmy Panetta holds a commanding position heading into California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 19th Congressional District, with trader consensus reflecting his established name recognition, prior electoral margins, and fundraising edge against a field that includes fellow Democrat Sean Dougherty, Republicans Tuka Gafari and Peter Verbica, and several no-party-preference candidates. The district's Democratic lean, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, favors Panetta advancing alongside one other contender, while the fragmented opposition limits any single challenger's path. With the primary just days away, campaign filings and candidate qualification have stabilized the field without major last-minute shifts, underscoring how early positioning and voter familiarity typically determine advancement in California's nonpartisan primary system.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$5,964
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Democratic Representative Jimmy Panetta holds a commanding position heading into California's June 2, 2026, top-two primary for the 19th Congressional District, with trader consensus reflecting his established name recognition, prior electoral margins, and fundraising edge against a field that includes fellow Democrat Sean Dougherty, Republicans Tuka Gafari and Peter Verbica, and several no-party-preference candidates. The district's Democratic lean, reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, favors Panetta advancing alongside one other contender, while the fragmented opposition limits any single challenger's path. With the primary just days away, campaign filings and candidate qualification have stabilized the field without major last-minute shifts, underscoring how early positioning and voter familiarity typically determine advancement in California's nonpartisan primary system.

The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.

Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$5,964
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
May 27, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 19th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/. Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「CA-19 Primary Winners」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Jimmy Panetta」で98%、次いで「Peter Verbica」が53%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、98¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に98%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「CA-19 Primary Winners」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（May 27, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「CA-19 Primary Winners」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「CA-19 Primary Winners」の現在のフロントランナーは「Jimmy Panetta」で98%であり、市場がこの結果に98%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Peter Verbica」で53%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「CA-19 Primary Winners」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。