INDEC's official release of 3.4% monthly CPI inflation for March 2026—up from February's 2.9% and the highest reading of the year—has solidified Polymarket trader consensus, pricing a 100% implied probability on the 3.4–3.6% outcome with real capital at stake. This acceleration reflects persistent pressures from regulated prices and seasonal factors, even as annual inflation eased to 32.6% from 33.2%, aligning with President Milei's fiscal austerity amid economic recovery challenges. Pre-release economist polls anticipated milder cooling, but the data matched government previews above 3%. Barring rare INDEC revisions, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning ahead of April's release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui3.4–3.6% 100.0%
≤2.1% <1%
2.2–2.4% <1%
2.5–2.7% <1%
$89,363 Vol.
$89,363 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
≤2.1%
No
2.2–2.4%
No
2.5–2.7%
No
2.8–3.0%
No
3.1–3.3%
No
3.4–3.6%
Yes
3.7%+
No
3.4–3.6% 100.0%
≤2.1% <1%
2.2–2.4% <1%
2.5–2.7% <1%
$89,363 Vol.
$89,363 Vol.
Apr 14, 2026
≤2.1%
$4,027 Vol.
No
2.2–2.4%
$3,022 Vol.
No
2.5–2.7%
$4,056 Vol.
No
2.8–3.0%
$8,843 Vol.
No
3.1–3.3%
$38,156 Vol.
No
3.4–3.6%
$20,496 Vol.
Yes
3.7%+
$10,763 Vol.
No
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.INDEC's official release of 3.4% monthly CPI inflation for March 2026—up from February's 2.9% and the highest reading of the year—has solidified Polymarket trader consensus, pricing a 100% implied probability on the 3.4–3.6% outcome with real capital at stake. This acceleration reflects persistent pressures from regulated prices and seasonal factors, even as annual inflation eased to 32.6% from 33.2%, aligning with President Milei's fiscal austerity amid economic recovery challenges. Pre-release economist polls anticipated milder cooling, but the data matched government previews above 3%. Barring rare INDEC revisions, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning ahead of April's release.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ET
Volume
$89,363Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.INDEC's official release of 3.4% monthly CPI inflation for March 2026—up from February's 2.9% and the highest reading of the year—has solidified Polymarket trader consensus, pricing a 100% implied probability on the 3.4–3.6% outcome with real capital at stake. This acceleration reflects persistent pressures from regulated prices and seasonal factors, even as annual inflation eased to 32.6% from 33.2%, aligning with President Milei's fiscal austerity amid economic recovery challenges. Pre-release economist polls anticipated milder cooling, but the data matched government previews above 3%. Barring rare INDEC revisions, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning ahead of April's release.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in March 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for March 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on April 14, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al Consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under “Variación % mensual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$89,363Tanggal Berakhir
Apr 14, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 17, 2026, 10:40 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hasil diajukan: No
Tidak ada sengketa
Hasil akhir: No
INDEC's official release of 3.4% monthly CPI inflation for March 2026—up from February's 2.9% and the highest reading of the year—has solidified Polymarket trader consensus, pricing a 100% implied probability on the 3.4–3.6% outcome with real capital at stake. This acceleration reflects persistent pressures from regulated prices and seasonal factors, even as annual inflation eased to 32.6% from 33.2%, aligning with President Milei's fiscal austerity amid economic recovery challenges. Pre-release economist polls anticipated milder cooling, but the data matched government previews above 3%. Barring rare INDEC revisions, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning ahead of April's release.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Hati-hati dengan link eksternal.
Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan