Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target and a resilient labor market have shifted market-implied odds toward a possible federal funds rate hike later in 2026. The FOMC held the target range steady at 3.5–3.75 percent at its April 28–29 meeting—the third consecutive pause—with minutes released May 20 revealing that a majority of officials viewed additional policy firming as appropriate if price pressures remain elevated. CME FedWatch futures and related contracts now price in elevated odds of at least one 25-basis-point increase by year-end or early 2027. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting, together with upcoming CPI, PCE, and employment reports, will serve as the next key data points for traders assessing whether the policy stance remains on hold or tilts toward tightening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$154,138 Vol.

June Meeting
1%

July Meeting
6%

September Meeting
11%

October Meeting
23%
$154,138 Vol.

June Meeting
1%

July Meeting
6%

September Meeting
11%

October Meeting
23%
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target and a resilient labor market have shifted market-implied odds toward a possible federal funds rate hike later in 2026. The FOMC held the target range steady at 3.5–3.75 percent at its April 28–29 meeting—the third consecutive pause—with minutes released May 20 revealing that a majority of officials viewed additional policy firming as appropriate if price pressures remain elevated. CME FedWatch futures and related contracts now price in elevated odds of at least one 25-basis-point increase by year-end or early 2027. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting, together with upcoming CPI, PCE, and employment reports, will serve as the next key data points for traders assessing whether the policy stance remains on hold or tilts toward tightening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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