Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target and a resilient labor market have shifted market-implied odds toward a possible federal funds rate hike later in 2026. The FOMC held the target range steady at 3.5–3.75 percent at its April 28–29 meeting—the third consecutive pause—with minutes released May 20 revealing that a majority of officials viewed additional policy firming as appropriate if price pressures remain elevated. CME FedWatch futures and related contracts now price in elevated odds of at least one 25-basis-point increase by year-end or early 2027. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting, together with upcoming CPI, PCE, and employment reports, will serve as the next key data points for traders assessing whether the policy stance remains on hold or tilts toward tightening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui$154,138 Vol.
Dec 9, 2026
June Meeting
1%
July Meeting
6%
September Meeting
11%
October Meeting
23%
$154,138 Vol.
June Meeting
$15,781 Vol.
1%
July Meeting
$1,768 Vol.
6%
September Meeting
$2,737 Vol.
11%
October Meeting
$2,545 Vol.
23%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target and a resilient labor market have shifted market-implied odds toward a possible federal funds rate hike later in 2026. The FOMC held the target range steady at 3.5–3.75 percent at its April 28–29 meeting—the third consecutive pause—with minutes released May 20 revealing that a majority of officials viewed additional policy firming as appropriate if price pressures remain elevated. CME FedWatch futures and related contracts now price in elevated odds of at least one 25-basis-point increase by year-end or early 2027. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting, together with upcoming CPI, PCE, and employment reports, will serve as the next key data points for traders assessing whether the policy stance remains on hold or tilts toward tightening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Volume
$154,138Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target and a resilient labor market have shifted market-implied odds toward a possible federal funds rate hike later in 2026. The FOMC held the target range steady at 3.5–3.75 percent at its April 28–29 meeting—the third consecutive pause—with minutes released May 20 revealing that a majority of officials viewed additional policy firming as appropriate if price pressures remain elevated. CME FedWatch futures and related contracts now price in elevated odds of at least one 25-basis-point increase by year-end or early 2027. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting, together with upcoming CPI, PCE, and employment reports, will serve as the next key data points for traders assessing whether the policy stance remains on hold or tilts toward tightening.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$154,138Tanggal Berakhir
Oct 29, 2026Pasar Dibuka
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation above the Federal Reserve’s 2 percent target and a resilient labor market have shifted market-implied odds toward a possible federal funds rate hike later in 2026. The FOMC held the target range steady at 3.5–3.75 percent at its April 28–29 meeting—the third consecutive pause—with minutes released May 20 revealing that a majority of officials viewed additional policy firming as appropriate if price pressures remain elevated. CME FedWatch futures and related contracts now price in elevated odds of at least one 25-basis-point increase by year-end or early 2027. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting, together with upcoming CPI, PCE, and employment reports, will serve as the next key data points for traders assessing whether the policy stance remains on hold or tilts toward tightening.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. · Diperbarui
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