Persistent above-target inflation and a resilient labor market remain the primary drivers keeping the market-implied probability of no Fed rate hike in 2026 at 64%. May CPI data showed year-over-year inflation climbing toward 4.2% amid elevated oil prices and supply pressures, while the May jobs report reinforced employment strength, shifting futures pricing toward a higher chance of hikes later this year. The current target range of 3.50%-3.75% has held since early 2026, with the June 17 FOMC meeting—Kevin Warsh’s first as chair—expected to maintain the pause. Trader consensus reflects anchored longer-term expectations and uncertainty over whether price pressures will necessitate tightening before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाहाँ
$2,065,173 वॉल्यूम
$2,065,173 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
हाँ
$2,065,173 वॉल्यूम
$2,065,173 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent above-target inflation and a resilient labor market remain the primary drivers keeping the market-implied probability of no Fed rate hike in 2026 at 64%. May CPI data showed year-over-year inflation climbing toward 4.2% amid elevated oil prices and supply pressures, while the May jobs report reinforced employment strength, shifting futures pricing toward a higher chance of hikes later this year. The current target range of 3.50%-3.75% has held since early 2026, with the June 17 FOMC meeting—Kevin Warsh’s first as chair—expected to maintain the pause. Trader consensus reflects anchored longer-term expectations and uncertainty over whether price pressures will necessitate tightening before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$2,065,173समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Persistent above-target inflation and a resilient labor market remain the primary drivers keeping the market-implied probability of no Fed rate hike in 2026 at 64%. May CPI data showed year-over-year inflation climbing toward 4.2% amid elevated oil prices and supply pressures, while the May jobs report reinforced employment strength, shifting futures pricing toward a higher chance of hikes later this year. The current target range of 3.50%-3.75% has held since early 2026, with the June 17 FOMC meeting—Kevin Warsh’s first as chair—expected to maintain the pause. Trader consensus reflects anchored longer-term expectations and uncertainty over whether price pressures will necessitate tightening before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$2,065,173समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent above-target inflation and a resilient labor market remain the primary drivers keeping the market-implied probability of no Fed rate hike in 2026 at 64%. May CPI data showed year-over-year inflation climbing toward 4.2% amid elevated oil prices and supply pressures, while the May jobs report reinforced employment strength, shifting futures pricing toward a higher chance of hikes later this year. The current target range of 3.50%-3.75% has held since early 2026, with the June 17 FOMC meeting—Kevin Warsh’s first as chair—expected to maintain the pause. Trader consensus reflects anchored longer-term expectations and uncertainty over whether price pressures will necessitate tightening before year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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