Recent economic data showing inflation remaining above the Fed's 2% target, bolstered by elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions, has reinforced trader expectations for steady policy at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Resilient labor market conditions with unemployment near 4.3% and solid GDP growth have reduced urgency for easing, while the shift in long-term rate projections and incoming leadership transition add caution against aggressive moves. These factors underpin the market's strong consensus on no change, with modest pricing for a possible 25 basis point hike reflecting inflation risks and limited scope for cuts or larger adjustments in the near term.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNo change 74%
25 bps increase 17%
25 bps decrease 6.6%
50+ bps decrease 2.1%
$273,039 वॉल्यूम
$273,039 वॉल्यूम
16 सित, 2026
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
7%
No change
74%
25 bps increase
17%
50+ bps increase
1%
No change 74%
25 bps increase 17%
25 bps decrease 6.6%
50+ bps decrease 2.1%
$273,039 वॉल्यूम
$273,039 वॉल्यूम
16 सित, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$49,357 वॉल्यूम
2%
25 bps decrease
$50,744 वॉल्यूम
7%
No change
$80,311 वॉल्यूम
74%
25 bps increase
$53,720 वॉल्यूम
17%
50+ bps increase
$40,261 वॉल्यूम
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent economic data showing inflation remaining above the Fed's 2% target, bolstered by elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions, has reinforced trader expectations for steady policy at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Resilient labor market conditions with unemployment near 4.3% and solid GDP growth have reduced urgency for easing, while the shift in long-term rate projections and incoming leadership transition add caution against aggressive moves. These factors underpin the market's strong consensus on no change, with modest pricing for a possible 25 basis point hike reflecting inflation risks and limited scope for cuts or larger adjustments in the near term.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$273,039समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent economic data showing inflation remaining above the Fed's 2% target, bolstered by elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions, has reinforced trader expectations for steady policy at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Resilient labor market conditions with unemployment near 4.3% and solid GDP growth have reduced urgency for easing, while the shift in long-term rate projections and incoming leadership transition add caution against aggressive moves. These factors underpin the market's strong consensus on no change, with modest pricing for a possible 25 basis point hike reflecting inflation risks and limited scope for cuts or larger adjustments in the near term.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$273,039समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent economic data showing inflation remaining above the Fed's 2% target, bolstered by elevated energy prices amid Middle East tensions, has reinforced trader expectations for steady policy at the September 15-16 FOMC meeting. Resilient labor market conditions with unemployment near 4.3% and solid GDP growth have reduced urgency for easing, while the shift in long-term rate projections and incoming leadership transition add caution against aggressive moves. These factors underpin the market's strong consensus on no change, with modest pricing for a possible 25 basis point hike reflecting inflation risks and limited scope for cuts or larger adjustments in the near term.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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