Recent hot August 2026 CPI prints showing 3.4% year-over-year headline inflation, driven by energy prices amid Middle East supply shocks, alongside firm labor market data have reinforced trader expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve path. With the target range at 3.50-3.75% and markets pricing a September 2026 hike, the 57.5% implied probability of no change at the January 2027 FOMC meeting reflects consensus that rates will stabilize after near-term tightening rather than reverse. The 23.5% odds of a further 25 basis point increase capture residual inflation risks from tariffs and supply pressures, while lower probabilities for cuts align with delayed easing forecasts into mid-2027. Stronger economic data and Chair Warsh’s restrictive communications continue to anchor these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाNo change 57%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि 24%
25 bps decrease 14%
50+ bps decrease 4.5%
$71,304 वॉल्यूम
$71,304 वॉल्यूम
27 जन, 2027
50+ bps decrease
5%
25 bps decrease
14%
No change
57%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि
24%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
2%
No change 57%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि 24%
25 bps decrease 14%
50+ bps decrease 4.5%
$71,304 वॉल्यूम
$71,304 वॉल्यूम
27 जन, 2027
50+ bps decrease
$13,999 वॉल्यूम
5%
25 bps decrease
$14,930 वॉल्यूम
14%
No change
$21,353 वॉल्यूम
57%
25 बीपीएस वृद्धि
$17,037 वॉल्यूम
24%
50+ बीपीएस वृद्धि
$3,985 वॉल्यूम
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent hot August 2026 CPI prints showing 3.4% year-over-year headline inflation, driven by energy prices amid Middle East supply shocks, alongside firm labor market data have reinforced trader expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve path. With the target range at 3.50-3.75% and markets pricing a September 2026 hike, the 57.5% implied probability of no change at the January 2027 FOMC meeting reflects consensus that rates will stabilize after near-term tightening rather than reverse. The 23.5% odds of a further 25 basis point increase capture residual inflation risks from tariffs and supply pressures, while lower probabilities for cuts align with delayed easing forecasts into mid-2027. Stronger economic data and Chair Warsh’s restrictive communications continue to anchor these market-implied odds.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$71,304समाप्ति तिथि
27 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent hot August 2026 CPI prints showing 3.4% year-over-year headline inflation, driven by energy prices amid Middle East supply shocks, alongside firm labor market data have reinforced trader expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve path. With the target range at 3.50-3.75% and markets pricing a September 2026 hike, the 57.5% implied probability of no change at the January 2027 FOMC meeting reflects consensus that rates will stabilize after near-term tightening rather than reverse. The 23.5% odds of a further 25 basis point increase capture residual inflation risks from tariffs and supply pressures, while lower probabilities for cuts align with delayed easing forecasts into mid-2027. Stronger economic data and Chair Warsh’s restrictive communications continue to anchor these market-implied odds.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$71,304समाप्ति तिथि
27 जन, 2027बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 8:39 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Recent hot August 2026 CPI prints showing 3.4% year-over-year headline inflation, driven by energy prices amid Middle East supply shocks, alongside firm labor market data have reinforced trader expectations for a more hawkish Federal Reserve path. With the target range at 3.50-3.75% and markets pricing a September 2026 hike, the 57.5% implied probability of no change at the January 2027 FOMC meeting reflects consensus that rates will stabilize after near-term tightening rather than reverse. The 23.5% odds of a further 25 basis point increase capture residual inflation risks from tariffs and supply pressures, while lower probabilities for cuts align with delayed easing forecasts into mid-2027. Stronger economic data and Chair Warsh’s restrictive communications continue to anchor these market-implied odds.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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