Trader sentiment for the December FOMC meeting shows a tight contest between no change and a 25 basis point rate hike, priced at 47.5% and 43.5% respectively, as incoming data have produced offsetting signals on inflation and employment. Core inflation readings through mid-2026 have remained above the 2% target, supporting expectations for further tightening, while recent labor market indicators point to slower job gains and easing wage pressures that favor holding the federal funds rate steady. Market-implied odds embed the Fed’s latest communications and dot-plot projections, which continue to emphasize data dependence. The September FOMC decision, along with the next CPI release and employment report, will serve as key near-term catalysts that could shift positioning ahead of year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाकोई बदलाव नहीं 48%
25 bps increase 44%
25 bps decrease 6.8%
50+ bps increase 1.6%
$555,681 वॉल्यूम
$555,681 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
7%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
48%
25 bps increase
44%
50+ bps increase
2%
कोई बदलाव नहीं 48%
25 bps increase 44%
25 bps decrease 6.8%
50+ bps increase 1.6%
$555,681 वॉल्यूम
$555,681 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$91,334 वॉल्यूम
1%
25 bps decrease
$138,671 वॉल्यूम
7%
कोई बदलाव नहीं
$97,753 वॉल्यूम
48%
25 bps increase
$139,052 वॉल्यूम
44%
50+ bps increase
$88,872 वॉल्यूम
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader sentiment for the December FOMC meeting shows a tight contest between no change and a 25 basis point rate hike, priced at 47.5% and 43.5% respectively, as incoming data have produced offsetting signals on inflation and employment. Core inflation readings through mid-2026 have remained above the 2% target, supporting expectations for further tightening, while recent labor market indicators point to slower job gains and easing wage pressures that favor holding the federal funds rate steady. Market-implied odds embed the Fed’s latest communications and dot-plot projections, which continue to emphasize data dependence. The September FOMC decision, along with the next CPI release and employment report, will serve as key near-term catalysts that could shift positioning ahead of year-end.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
बाज़ार खुला: Jul 29, 2026, 8:38 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$555,681समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 8:38 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader sentiment for the December FOMC meeting shows a tight contest between no change and a 25 basis point rate hike, priced at 47.5% and 43.5% respectively, as incoming data have produced offsetting signals on inflation and employment. Core inflation readings through mid-2026 have remained above the 2% target, supporting expectations for further tightening, while recent labor market indicators point to slower job gains and easing wage pressures that favor holding the federal funds rate steady. Market-implied odds embed the Fed’s latest communications and dot-plot projections, which continue to emphasize data dependence. The September FOMC decision, along with the next CPI release and employment report, will serve as key near-term catalysts that could shift positioning ahead of year-end.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
वॉल्यूम
$555,681समाप्ति तिथि
9 दिस, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jul 29, 2026, 8:38 PM ETरिज़ॉल्वर
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the December FOMC meeting shows a tight contest between no change and a 25 basis point rate hike, priced at 47.5% and 43.5% respectively, as incoming data have produced offsetting signals on inflation and employment. Core inflation readings through mid-2026 have remained above the 2% target, supporting expectations for further tightening, while recent labor market indicators point to slower job gains and easing wage pressures that favor holding the federal funds rate steady. Market-implied odds embed the Fed’s latest communications and dot-plot projections, which continue to emphasize data dependence. The September FOMC decision, along with the next CPI release and employment report, will serve as key near-term catalysts that could shift positioning ahead of year-end.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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