Elevated May 2026 CPI readings at 4.2% year-over-year—the highest in three years, propelled by energy price surges—combined with a resilient labor market featuring 4.3% unemployment and steady payroll gains, have anchored trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range across the June, July, and September FOMC meetings. This backdrop supports the 77.5% market-implied probability on Pause–Pause–Pause, reflecting the central bank's data-dependent stance prioritizing inflation control over easing amid above-target price pressures. Recent FOMC minutes and daily rate publications through mid-June reinforce this hold bias, with futures markets showing limited odds of near-term adjustments absent significant cooling in incoming data. Key catalysts ahead include the June 16-17 decision itself, subsequent CPI and employment reports, and the September Summary of Economic Projections.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPause–Pause–Pause 80%
Pause–Pause–Cut 10.4%
Other 9%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.8%
नया
नया
16 सित, 2026
Cut–Pause–Pause
<1%
Cut–Pause–Cut
<1%
Cut–Cut–Pause
<1%
Cut–Cut–Cut
<1%
Pause–Pause–Pause
77%
Pause–Pause–Cut
10%
Pause–Cut–Pause
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%
Other
9%
Pause–Pause–Pause 80%
Pause–Pause–Cut 10.4%
Other 9%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.8%
नया
नया
16 सित, 2026
Cut–Pause–Pause
$488 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Cut–Pause–Cut
$540 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Cut–Cut–Pause
$340 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Cut–Cut–Cut
$354 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Pause–Pause–Pause
$1,148 वॉल्यूम
77%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$331 वॉल्यूम
10%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$230 वॉल्यूम
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$276 वॉल्यूम
1%
Other
$318 वॉल्यूम
9%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated May 2026 CPI readings at 4.2% year-over-year—the highest in three years, propelled by energy price surges—combined with a resilient labor market featuring 4.3% unemployment and steady payroll gains, have anchored trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range across the June, July, and September FOMC meetings. This backdrop supports the 77.5% market-implied probability on Pause–Pause–Pause, reflecting the central bank's data-dependent stance prioritizing inflation control over easing amid above-target price pressures. Recent FOMC minutes and daily rate publications through mid-June reinforce this hold bias, with futures markets showing limited odds of near-term adjustments absent significant cooling in incoming data. Key catalysts ahead include the June 16-17 decision itself, subsequent CPI and employment reports, and the September Summary of Economic Projections.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,024समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated May 2026 CPI readings at 4.2% year-over-year—the highest in three years, propelled by energy price surges—combined with a resilient labor market featuring 4.3% unemployment and steady payroll gains, have anchored trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range across the June, July, and September FOMC meetings. This backdrop supports the 77.5% market-implied probability on Pause–Pause–Pause, reflecting the central bank's data-dependent stance prioritizing inflation control over easing amid above-target price pressures. Recent FOMC minutes and daily rate publications through mid-June reinforce this hold bias, with futures markets showing limited odds of near-term adjustments absent significant cooling in incoming data. Key catalysts ahead include the June 16-17 decision itself, subsequent CPI and employment reports, and the September Summary of Economic Projections.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$4,024समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated May 2026 CPI readings at 4.2% year-over-year—the highest in three years, propelled by energy price surges—combined with a resilient labor market featuring 4.3% unemployment and steady payroll gains, have anchored trader expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range across the June, July, and September FOMC meetings. This backdrop supports the 77.5% market-implied probability on Pause–Pause–Pause, reflecting the central bank's data-dependent stance prioritizing inflation control over easing amid above-target price pressures. Recent FOMC minutes and daily rate publications through mid-June reinforce this hold bias, with futures markets showing limited odds of near-term adjustments absent significant cooling in incoming data. Key catalysts ahead include the June 16-17 decision itself, subsequent CPI and employment reports, and the September Summary of Economic Projections.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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