Elevated May 2026 CPI inflation at 4.2% year-over-year—the highest reading since 2023, fueled by a 0.5% monthly increase and sharp energy price gains—remains the dominant driver anchoring trader consensus on a Pause-Pause-Pause path for the June 16-17, July 28-29, and September 15-16 FOMC meetings at 75.5% implied probability. Resilient labor market data, including a 4.3% unemployment rate and 172,000 May payroll gains, further support the Fed’s data-dependent hold stance amid above-target price pressures, consistent with recent FOMC communications. Market-implied odds reflect real capital backing this outlook, though incoming June CPI or employment figures ahead of the September dot-plot meeting could shift expectations if they reveal faster disinflation or labor-market softening.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPause–Pause–Pause 80%
Pause–Pause–Cut 11.2%
Other 7%
Pause–Cut–Pause 2.0%
नया
नया
16 सित, 2026
Cut–Pause–Pause
1%
Cut–Pause–Cut
<1%
Cut–Cut–Pause
<1%
Cut–Cut–Cut
1%
Pause–Pause–Pause
77%
Pause–Pause–Cut
11%
Pause–Cut–Pause
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%
Other
7%
Pause–Pause–Pause 80%
Pause–Pause–Cut 11.2%
Other 7%
Pause–Cut–Pause 2.0%
नया
नया
16 सित, 2026
Cut–Pause–Pause
$488 वॉल्यूम
1%
Cut–Pause–Cut
$540 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Cut–Cut–Pause
$393 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Cut–Cut–Cut
$401 वॉल्यूम
1%
Pause–Pause–Pause
$1,148 वॉल्यूम
77%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$331 वॉल्यूम
11%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$230 वॉल्यूम
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$276 वॉल्यूम
1%
Other
$318 वॉल्यूम
7%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated May 2026 CPI inflation at 4.2% year-over-year—the highest reading since 2023, fueled by a 0.5% monthly increase and sharp energy price gains—remains the dominant driver anchoring trader consensus on a Pause-Pause-Pause path for the June 16-17, July 28-29, and September 15-16 FOMC meetings at 75.5% implied probability. Resilient labor market data, including a 4.3% unemployment rate and 172,000 May payroll gains, further support the Fed’s data-dependent hold stance amid above-target price pressures, consistent with recent FOMC communications. Market-implied odds reflect real capital backing this outlook, though incoming June CPI or employment figures ahead of the September dot-plot meeting could shift expectations if they reveal faster disinflation or labor-market softening.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$4,125समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated May 2026 CPI inflation at 4.2% year-over-year—the highest reading since 2023, fueled by a 0.5% monthly increase and sharp energy price gains—remains the dominant driver anchoring trader consensus on a Pause-Pause-Pause path for the June 16-17, July 28-29, and September 15-16 FOMC meetings at 75.5% implied probability. Resilient labor market data, including a 4.3% unemployment rate and 172,000 May payroll gains, further support the Fed’s data-dependent hold stance amid above-target price pressures, consistent with recent FOMC communications. Market-implied odds reflect real capital backing this outlook, though incoming June CPI or employment figures ahead of the September dot-plot meeting could shift expectations if they reveal faster disinflation or labor-market softening.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$4,125समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated May 2026 CPI inflation at 4.2% year-over-year—the highest reading since 2023, fueled by a 0.5% monthly increase and sharp energy price gains—remains the dominant driver anchoring trader consensus on a Pause-Pause-Pause path for the June 16-17, July 28-29, and September 15-16 FOMC meetings at 75.5% implied probability. Resilient labor market data, including a 4.3% unemployment rate and 172,000 May payroll gains, further support the Fed’s data-dependent hold stance amid above-target price pressures, consistent with recent FOMC communications. Market-implied odds reflect real capital backing this outlook, though incoming June CPI or employment figures ahead of the September dot-plot meeting could shift expectations if they reveal faster disinflation or labor-market softening.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
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