Elevated April 2026 CPI readings, which accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—primarily due to a 17.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East tensions, have anchored trader consensus on the Fed maintaining its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range through the June, July, and September FOMC meetings. This outcome carries an 80% market-implied probability, reflecting skin-in-the-game sentiment that sticky headline and core inflation near 2.8%, alongside a resilient labor market with 4.3% unemployment, support a higher-for-longer policy stance following the April hold. The May CPI release scheduled for June 10 and the June dot plot represent key near-term catalysts that could influence any shift in these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPause–Pause–Pause 79%
Other 10%
Pause–Cut–Cut 6.3%
Cut–Pause–Cut 6.0%
नया
नया
16 सित, 2026
Cut–Pause–Pause
2%
Cut–Pause–Cut
6%
Cut–Cut–Pause
1%
Cut–Cut–Cut
1%
Pause–Pause–Pause
79%
Pause–Pause–Cut
4%
Pause–Cut–Pause
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
6%
Other
10%
Pause–Pause–Pause 79%
Other 10%
Pause–Cut–Cut 6.3%
Cut–Pause–Cut 6.0%
नया
नया
16 सित, 2026
Cut–Pause–Pause
$116 वॉल्यूम
2%
Cut–Pause–Cut
$122 वॉल्यूम
6%
Cut–Cut–Pause
$172 वॉल्यूम
1%
Cut–Cut–Cut
$131 वॉल्यूम
1%
Pause–Pause–Pause
$462 वॉल्यूम
79%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$163 वॉल्यूम
4%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$131 वॉल्यूम
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$122 वॉल्यूम
6%
Other
$139 वॉल्यूम
10%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated April 2026 CPI readings, which accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—primarily due to a 17.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East tensions, have anchored trader consensus on the Fed maintaining its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range through the June, July, and September FOMC meetings. This outcome carries an 80% market-implied probability, reflecting skin-in-the-game sentiment that sticky headline and core inflation near 2.8%, alongside a resilient labor market with 4.3% unemployment, support a higher-for-longer policy stance following the April hold. The May CPI release scheduled for June 10 and the June dot plot represent key near-term catalysts that could influence any shift in these probabilities.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,559समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated April 2026 CPI readings, which accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—primarily due to a 17.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East tensions, have anchored trader consensus on the Fed maintaining its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range through the June, July, and September FOMC meetings. This outcome carries an 80% market-implied probability, reflecting skin-in-the-game sentiment that sticky headline and core inflation near 2.8%, alongside a resilient labor market with 4.3% unemployment, support a higher-for-longer policy stance following the April hold. The May CPI release scheduled for June 10 and the June dot plot represent key near-term catalysts that could influence any shift in these probabilities.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$1,559समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated April 2026 CPI readings, which accelerated to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—primarily due to a 17.9% surge in energy prices amid Middle East tensions, have anchored trader consensus on the Fed maintaining its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range through the June, July, and September FOMC meetings. This outcome carries an 80% market-implied probability, reflecting skin-in-the-game sentiment that sticky headline and core inflation near 2.8%, alongside a resilient labor market with 4.3% unemployment, support a higher-for-longer policy stance following the April hold. The May CPI release scheduled for June 10 and the June dot plot represent key near-term catalysts that could influence any shift in these probabilities.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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