Trader sentiment for the June-July-September FOMC meetings remains evenly split across potential rate paths like Cut-Pause-Pause and Pause-Pause-Pause, each at 49.5% implied probability, underscoring deep uncertainty in the federal funds rate trajectory. The April 28-29 FOMC held rates steady amid March CPI surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since 2024—offset by a resilient labor market with unemployment dipping to 4.3%. Fed funds futures via CME FedWatch price 97% odds of no change in June, yet divergent broker views (holds vs. mid-year cuts) and competing inflation persistence versus softening growth signals keep paths contested. Watch April CPI release on May 12 for pivotal swings ahead of June 16-17.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPause–Pause–Pause 63%
Cut–Pause–Cut 40%
Cut–Cut–Pause 40%
Other 40%
नया
नया
16 सित, 2026
Cut–Pause–Pause
19%
Cut–Pause–Cut
40%
Cut–Cut–Pause
40%
Cut–Cut–Cut
16%
Pause–Pause–Pause
63%
Pause–Pause–Cut
31%
Pause–Cut–Pause
26%
Pause–Cut–Cut
26%
Other
40%
Pause–Pause–Pause 63%
Cut–Pause–Cut 40%
Cut–Cut–Pause 40%
Other 40%
नया
नया
16 सित, 2026
Cut–Pause–Pause
$0 वॉल्यूम
19%
Cut–Pause–Cut
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
Cut–Cut–Pause
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
Cut–Cut–Cut
$0 वॉल्यूम
16%
Pause–Pause–Pause
$0 वॉल्यूम
63%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$0 वॉल्यूम
31%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$0 वॉल्यूम
26%
Other
$0 वॉल्यूम
40%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader sentiment for the June-July-September FOMC meetings remains evenly split across potential rate paths like Cut-Pause-Pause and Pause-Pause-Pause, each at 49.5% implied probability, underscoring deep uncertainty in the federal funds rate trajectory. The April 28-29 FOMC held rates steady amid March CPI surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since 2024—offset by a resilient labor market with unemployment dipping to 4.3%. Fed funds futures via CME FedWatch price 97% odds of no change in June, yet divergent broker views (holds vs. mid-year cuts) and competing inflation persistence versus softening growth signals keep paths contested. Watch April CPI release on May 12 for pivotal swings ahead of June 16-17.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader sentiment for the June-July-September FOMC meetings remains evenly split across potential rate paths like Cut-Pause-Pause and Pause-Pause-Pause, each at 49.5% implied probability, underscoring deep uncertainty in the federal funds rate trajectory. The April 28-29 FOMC held rates steady amid March CPI surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since 2024—offset by a resilient labor market with unemployment dipping to 4.3%. Fed funds futures via CME FedWatch price 97% odds of no change in June, yet divergent broker views (holds vs. mid-year cuts) and competing inflation persistence versus softening growth signals keep paths contested. Watch April CPI release on May 12 for pivotal swings ahead of June 16-17.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: June 16-17; July 28-29; and September 15-16.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$0समाप्ति तिथि
16 सित, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Apr 29, 2026, 7:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the June-July-September FOMC meetings remains evenly split across potential rate paths like Cut-Pause-Pause and Pause-Pause-Pause, each at 49.5% implied probability, underscoring deep uncertainty in the federal funds rate trajectory. The April 28-29 FOMC held rates steady amid March CPI surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since 2024—offset by a resilient labor market with unemployment dipping to 4.3%. Fed funds futures via CME FedWatch price 97% odds of no change in June, yet divergent broker views (holds vs. mid-year cuts) and competing inflation persistence versus softening growth signals keep paths contested. Watch April CPI release on May 12 for pivotal swings ahead of June 16-17.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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