Elevated April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year, up from 3.3% in March amid surging energy costs tied to geopolitical tensions, has reinforced the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5%–3.75% through the April meeting. This outcome, paired with solid economic growth and anchored longer-term expectations, underpins the 93% market-implied probability of pause-pause-pause across the April, June, and July FOMC meetings. Traders see limited scope for cuts given the inflation trajectory and divided Committee views. A sharper moderation in May or June CPI prints, or clear softening in labor market data ahead of the June 16–17 and July 28–29 meetings, could reopen the door to earlier easing and shift pricing toward sequences including rate reductions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाPause–Pause–Pause 93%
Pause–Pause–Cut 3.6%
Other 2.7%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.6%
$52,076 वॉल्यूम
$52,076 वॉल्यूम
29 जुल, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
93%
Pause–Pause–Cut
4%
Pause–Cut–Pause
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
1%
Other
3%
Pause–Pause–Pause 93%
Pause–Pause–Cut 3.6%
Other 2.7%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.6%
$52,076 वॉल्यूम
$52,076 वॉल्यूम
29 जुल, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$3,509 वॉल्यूम
93%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$2,373 वॉल्यूम
4%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$2,558 वॉल्यूम
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$1,874 वॉल्यूम
1%
Other
$1,777 वॉल्यूम
3%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year, up from 3.3% in March amid surging energy costs tied to geopolitical tensions, has reinforced the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5%–3.75% through the April meeting. This outcome, paired with solid economic growth and anchored longer-term expectations, underpins the 93% market-implied probability of pause-pause-pause across the April, June, and July FOMC meetings. Traders see limited scope for cuts given the inflation trajectory and divided Committee views. A sharper moderation in May or June CPI prints, or clear softening in labor market data ahead of the June 16–17 and July 28–29 meetings, could reopen the door to earlier easing and shift pricing toward sequences including rate reductions.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$52,076समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year, up from 3.3% in March amid surging energy costs tied to geopolitical tensions, has reinforced the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5%–3.75% through the April meeting. This outcome, paired with solid economic growth and anchored longer-term expectations, underpins the 93% market-implied probability of pause-pause-pause across the April, June, and July FOMC meetings. Traders see limited scope for cuts given the inflation trajectory and divided Committee views. A sharper moderation in May or June CPI prints, or clear softening in labor market data ahead of the June 16–17 and July 28–29 meetings, could reopen the door to earlier easing and shift pricing toward sequences including rate reductions.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$52,076समाप्ति तिथि
29 जुल, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 24, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated April 2026 CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year, up from 3.3% in March amid surging energy costs tied to geopolitical tensions, has reinforced the Federal Reserve’s decision to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 3.5%–3.75% through the April meeting. This outcome, paired with solid economic growth and anchored longer-term expectations, underpins the 93% market-implied probability of pause-pause-pause across the April, June, and July FOMC meetings. Traders see limited scope for cuts given the inflation trajectory and divided Committee views. A sharper moderation in May or June CPI prints, or clear softening in labor market data ahead of the June 16–17 and July 28–29 meetings, could reopen the door to earlier easing and shift pricing toward sequences including rate reductions.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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