Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, fueled by energy price surges amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, combined with a stable labor market near 4.3% unemployment, has driven the Federal Reserve to maintain its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range at the March and April meetings. This data-dependent stance underpins the 97.7% market-implied odds of Pause–Pause–Pause through the June FOMC decision, as traders price in limited near-term easing despite the central bank’s ongoing assessment of incoming data. Recent FOMC minutes highlight risks of more persistent inflation, reinforcing consensus for holds. Potential challengers include a sharp moderation in May CPI, due June 10, or notable labor market softening ahead of the June 5 employment report and June 16-17 policy meeting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाविराम–विराम–विराम 97.8%
रोक–रोक–कटौती 1.6%
अन्य <1%
$1,263,482 वॉल्यूम
$1,263,482 वॉल्यूम
17 जून, 2026
विराम–विराम–विराम
98%
रोक–रोक–कटौती
2%
अन्य
1%
विराम–विराम–विराम 97.8%
रोक–रोक–कटौती 1.6%
अन्य <1%
$1,263,482 वॉल्यूम
$1,263,482 वॉल्यूम
17 जून, 2026
विराम–विराम–विराम
$139,148 वॉल्यूम
98%
रोक–रोक–कटौती
$92,387 वॉल्यूम
2%
अन्य
$286,744 वॉल्यूम
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, fueled by energy price surges amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, combined with a stable labor market near 4.3% unemployment, has driven the Federal Reserve to maintain its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range at the March and April meetings. This data-dependent stance underpins the 97.7% market-implied odds of Pause–Pause–Pause through the June FOMC decision, as traders price in limited near-term easing despite the central bank’s ongoing assessment of incoming data. Recent FOMC minutes highlight risks of more persistent inflation, reinforcing consensus for holds. Potential challengers include a sharp moderation in May CPI, due June 10, or notable labor market softening ahead of the June 5 employment report and June 16-17 policy meeting.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$1,263,482समाप्ति तिथि
17 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmElevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, fueled by energy price surges amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, combined with a stable labor market near 4.3% unemployment, has driven the Federal Reserve to maintain its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range at the March and April meetings. This data-dependent stance underpins the 97.7% market-implied odds of Pause–Pause–Pause through the June FOMC decision, as traders price in limited near-term easing despite the central bank’s ongoing assessment of incoming data. Recent FOMC minutes highlight risks of more persistent inflation, reinforcing consensus for holds. Potential challengers include a sharp moderation in May CPI, due June 10, or notable labor market softening ahead of the June 5 employment report and June 16-17 policy meeting.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: March 17-18, 2026; April 28-29; and June 16-17.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$1,263,482समाप्ति तिथि
17 जून, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jan 29, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elevated April 2026 CPI at 3.8% year-over-year, fueled by energy price surges amid Middle East geopolitical tensions, combined with a stable labor market near 4.3% unemployment, has driven the Federal Reserve to maintain its 3.50%-3.75% federal funds target range at the March and April meetings. This data-dependent stance underpins the 97.7% market-implied odds of Pause–Pause–Pause through the June FOMC decision, as traders price in limited near-term easing despite the central bank’s ongoing assessment of incoming data. Recent FOMC minutes highlight risks of more persistent inflation, reinforcing consensus for holds. Potential challengers include a sharp moderation in May CPI, due June 10, or notable labor market softening ahead of the June 5 employment report and June 16-17 policy meeting.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
बाहरी लिंक से सावधान रहें।
अक्सर पूछे जाने वाले प्रश्न