Fed Rates predictions & odds

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Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Fed Rates

Politics

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

46%

Kevin Warsh

$240m वॉल्यूम

$11m today

$7m Liq.

611

Ends in 11 months

Fed decision in January?

Fed Rates

Politics

Fed decision in January?

98%

No change

$445m वॉल्यूम

$11m today

$21m Liq.

1,369

Ends in 6 days

Fed decision in March?

Fed Rates

Politics

Fed decision in March?

80%

No change

$3m वॉल्यूम

$260k today

$570k Liq.

418

Ends in about 2 months

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

Fed Rates

Business

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

27%

3 (75 bps)

$3m वॉल्यूम

$71.6k today

$854k Liq.

30

Ends in 11 months

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

Fed Rates

Finance

Fed decisions (Oct-Jan)

98%

Cut–Cut–Pause

$968k वॉल्यूम

$83.6k Liq.

15

Ends in 9 days

Fed rate cut by...?

Fed Rates

Finance

Fed rate cut by...?

61%

June Meeting

$428k वॉल्यूम

$99.5k Liq.

3

Ends in 5 months

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

Fed Rates

Politics

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

22%

3.0%

$63.9k वॉल्यूम

$190k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

Fed Rates

Finance

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go by March 31?

55%

4.4%

$57.1k वॉल्यूम

$15.9k Liq.

7

Ends in 2 months

Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

Fed Rates

Politics

Trump announces Fed Chair nominee by...?

99%

June 30, 2026

$324k वॉल्यूम

$30.5k Liq.

14

Ends in 9 days

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

Fed Rates

Politics

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?

8%

May 14

$588k वॉल्यूम

$131k Liq.

26

Ends in 4 months

Fed decision in April?

Fed Rates

Politics

Fed decision in April?

73%

No change

$739k वॉल्यूम

$351k Liq.

Ends in 3 months

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

Fed Rates

Politics

Will Trump try to Fire Powell by January 31?

1%

$97.8k वॉल्यूम

$28.8k Liq.

2

Ends in 9 days

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

Fed Rates

Politics

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

94%

↓ 3.25%

$466k वॉल्यूम

$141k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

Major rate cut chances under each Fed Chair?

Fed Rates

Politics

Major rate cut chances under each Fed Chair?

24%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$7.0k वॉल्यूम

$99.6k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

Fed Rates

Finance

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

76%

4.4%

$37.0k वॉल्यूम

$19.8k Liq.

Ends in 11 months

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

Fed Rates

Finance

Fed decisions (Dec-Mar)

75%

Cut–Pause–Pause

$486k वॉल्यूम

$94.3k Liq.

1

Ends in about 2 months

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Fed Rates

Politics

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

76%

3.9%

$18.0k वॉल्यूम

$7.4k Liq.

1

Ends in 11 months

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

Fed Rates

Politics

Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?

73%

December 31

$66.1k वॉल्यूम

$11.3k Liq.

3

Ends in 11 months

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

Fed Rates

Trump

Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?

34%

$19.6k वॉल्यूम

$2.9k Liq.

2

Ends in 9 days

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?

Fed Rates

Politics

Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by...?

1%

February 28, 2026

$10m वॉल्यूम

$5.0k Liq.

1,096