Trader consensus prices negligible odds for a Federal Reserve rate hike, mirroring CME FedWatch-implied probabilities above 99% for holding the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% through the April 28-29 FOMC meeting. March 2026 CPI surged 0.9% month-over-month to 3.3% year-over-year—driven by energy's 10.9% monthly spike—while core CPI rose to 2.6% annually, tempering cut expectations amid resilient nonfarm payrolls of +178,000. Richmond Fed's Musalem cited an oil shock sustaining core inflation near 3% on April 15, bolstering the pause. With 10-year Treasury yields at 4.26%, upcoming April CPI (May 12 release) and FOMC statement loom as key catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$31,312 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
अप्रैल बैठक
1%
जून बैठक
4%
जुलाई बैठक
18%
सितंबर बैठक
16%
अक्टूबर बैठक
22%
$31,312 वॉल्यूम
अप्रैल बैठक
$24,301 वॉल्यूम
1%
जून बैठक
$6,580 वॉल्यूम
4%
जुलाई बैठक
$372 वॉल्यूम
18%
सितंबर बैठक
$3 वॉल्यूम
16%
अक्टूबर बैठक
$55 वॉल्यूम
22%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices negligible odds for a Federal Reserve rate hike, mirroring CME FedWatch-implied probabilities above 99% for holding the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% through the April 28-29 FOMC meeting. March 2026 CPI surged 0.9% month-over-month to 3.3% year-over-year—driven by energy's 10.9% monthly spike—while core CPI rose to 2.6% annually, tempering cut expectations amid resilient nonfarm payrolls of +178,000. Richmond Fed's Musalem cited an oil shock sustaining core inflation near 3% on April 15, bolstering the pause. With 10-year Treasury yields at 4.26%, upcoming April CPI (May 12 release) and FOMC statement loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$31,312समाप्ति तिथि
29 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices negligible odds for a Federal Reserve rate hike, mirroring CME FedWatch-implied probabilities above 99% for holding the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% through the April 28-29 FOMC meeting. March 2026 CPI surged 0.9% month-over-month to 3.3% year-over-year—driven by energy's 10.9% monthly spike—while core CPI rose to 2.6% annually, tempering cut expectations amid resilient nonfarm payrolls of +178,000. Richmond Fed's Musalem cited an oil shock sustaining core inflation near 3% on April 15, bolstering the pause. With 10-year Treasury yields at 4.26%, upcoming April CPI (May 12 release) and FOMC statement loom as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$31,312समाप्ति तिथि
29 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices negligible odds for a Federal Reserve rate hike, mirroring CME FedWatch-implied probabilities above 99% for holding the federal funds target at 3.50%-3.75% through the April 28-29 FOMC meeting. March 2026 CPI surged 0.9% month-over-month to 3.3% year-over-year—driven by energy's 10.9% monthly spike—while core CPI rose to 2.6% annually, tempering cut expectations amid resilient nonfarm payrolls of +178,000. Richmond Fed's Musalem cited an oil shock sustaining core inflation near 3% on April 15, bolstering the pause. With 10-year Treasury yields at 4.26%, upcoming April CPI (May 12 release) and FOMC statement loom as key catalysts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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