Trader consensus prices a low implied probability for a Federal Reserve rate hike in the near term, with the fed funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC decision amid an 8-4 split vote signaling internal hawkish dissent. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—above the 2% target—while recent strong jobs data has lifted CME FedWatch odds of a 2026 hike to around 21%, reflecting resilient labor markets and persistent inflation pressures from energy and geopolitical risks. Markets anticipate no change at the June 16-17 meeting, but April CPI data due May 12 could catalyze shifts, with futures implying steady policy through year-end barring hotter prints.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया$145,049 वॉल्यूम
9 दिस, 2026
जून बैठक
1%
जुलाई बैठक
6%
सितंबर बैठक
16%
अक्टूबर बैठक
15%
$145,049 वॉल्यूम
जून बैठक
$12,497 वॉल्यूम
1%
जुलाई बैठक
$755 वॉल्यूम
6%
सितंबर बैठक
$49 वॉल्यूम
16%
अक्टूबर बैठक
$440 वॉल्यूम
15%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a low implied probability for a Federal Reserve rate hike in the near term, with the fed funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC decision amid an 8-4 split vote signaling internal hawkish dissent. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—above the 2% target—while recent strong jobs data has lifted CME FedWatch odds of a 2026 hike to around 21%, reflecting resilient labor markets and persistent inflation pressures from energy and geopolitical risks. Markets anticipate no change at the June 16-17 meeting, but April CPI data due May 12 could catalyze shifts, with futures implying steady policy through year-end barring hotter prints.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
बाज़ार खुला: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$145,049समाप्ति तिथि
29 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices a low implied probability for a Federal Reserve rate hike in the near term, with the fed funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC decision amid an 8-4 split vote signaling internal hawkish dissent. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—above the 2% target—while recent strong jobs data has lifted CME FedWatch odds of a 2026 hike to around 21%, reflecting resilient labor markets and persistent inflation pressures from energy and geopolitical risks. Markets anticipate no change at the June 16-17 meeting, but April CPI data due May 12 could catalyze shifts, with futures implying steady policy through year-end barring hotter prints.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
वॉल्यूम
$145,049समाप्ति तिथि
29 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a low implied probability for a Federal Reserve rate hike in the near term, with the fed funds target range steady at 3.50%-3.75% following the April 28-29 FOMC decision amid an 8-4 split vote signaling internal hawkish dissent. March 2026 CPI accelerated to 3.3% year-over-year—above the 2% target—while recent strong jobs data has lifted CME FedWatch odds of a 2026 hike to around 21%, reflecting resilient labor markets and persistent inflation pressures from energy and geopolitical risks. Markets anticipate no change at the June 16-17 meeting, but April CPI data due May 12 could catalyze shifts, with futures implying steady policy through year-end barring hotter prints.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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