Trader sentiment on Federal Reserve rate decisions from July through October reflects a tight contest between three consecutive pauses at 42.5% implied probability and alternative paths at 48.5%. This balance arises from mixed economic signals, including recent inflation data showing persistent core pressures alongside softening labor market indicators that have tempered expectations for near-term easing. The FOMC’s data-dependent stance, reinforced in recent communications, keeps the rate path uncertain versus official guidance favoring gradual adjustment. Key upcoming catalysts include the September employment report, CPI release, and FOMC meeting, where stronger-than-expected growth could solidify the pause consensus while weaker readings might shift odds toward measured cuts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गयाOther 49%
Pause–Pause–Pause 43%
Pause–Pause–Cut 3.0%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.6%
$667,193 वॉल्यूम
$667,193 वॉल्यूम
28 अक्टू, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
43%
Pause–Pause–Cut
3%
Pause–Cut–Pause
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
<1%
Other
49%
Other 49%
Pause–Pause–Pause 43%
Pause–Pause–Cut 3.0%
Pause–Cut–Pause 1.6%
$667,193 वॉल्यूम
$667,193 वॉल्यूम
28 अक्टू, 2026
Pause–Pause–Pause
$225,781 वॉल्यूम
43%
Pause–Pause–Cut
$51,177 वॉल्यूम
3%
Pause–Cut–Pause
$31,993 वॉल्यूम
2%
Pause–Cut–Cut
$24,297 वॉल्यूम
<1%
Other
$290,459 वॉल्यूम
49%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader sentiment on Federal Reserve rate decisions from July through October reflects a tight contest between three consecutive pauses at 42.5% implied probability and alternative paths at 48.5%. This balance arises from mixed economic signals, including recent inflation data showing persistent core pressures alongside softening labor market indicators that have tempered expectations for near-term easing. The FOMC’s data-dependent stance, reinforced in recent communications, keeps the rate path uncertain versus official guidance favoring gradual adjustment. Key upcoming catalysts include the September employment report, CPI release, and FOMC meeting, where stronger-than-expected growth could solidify the pause consensus while weaker readings might shift odds toward measured cuts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
बाज़ार खुला: Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ET
वॉल्यूम
$667,193समाप्ति तिथि
28 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htmTrader sentiment on Federal Reserve rate decisions from July through October reflects a tight contest between three consecutive pauses at 42.5% implied probability and alternative paths at 48.5%. This balance arises from mixed economic signals, including recent inflation data showing persistent core pressures alongside softening labor market indicators that have tempered expectations for near-term easing. The FOMC’s data-dependent stance, reinforced in recent communications, keeps the rate path uncertain versus official guidance favoring gradual adjustment. Key upcoming catalysts include the September employment report, CPI release, and FOMC meeting, where stronger-than-expected growth could solidify the pause consensus while weaker readings might shift odds toward measured cuts.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
This market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.
A qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
A qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.
If the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to "Other". Any rate hike will be encompassed by "Other".
Emergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
वॉल्यूम
$667,193समाप्ति तिथि
28 अक्टू, 2026बाज़ार खुला
Jun 17, 2026, 7:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on Federal Reserve rate decisions from July through October reflects a tight contest between three consecutive pauses at 42.5% implied probability and alternative paths at 48.5%. This balance arises from mixed economic signals, including recent inflation data showing persistent core pressures alongside softening labor market indicators that have tempered expectations for near-term easing. The FOMC’s data-dependent stance, reinforced in recent communications, keeps the rate path uncertain versus official guidance favoring gradual adjustment. Key upcoming catalysts include the September employment report, CPI release, and FOMC meeting, where stronger-than-expected growth could solidify the pause consensus while weaker readings might shift odds toward measured cuts.
Polymarket डेटा का संदर्भ देने वाला प्रयोगात्मक AI-जनरेटेड सारांश। यह ट्रेडिंग सलाह नहीं है और इस बाज़ार के समाधान में कोई भूमिका नहीं निभाता। · अपडेट किया गया
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