Skip to main content
icon for Will Trump visit China on...?
Géopolitique·Tarifs

Will Trump visit China on...?

icon for Will Trump visit China on...?
Géopolitique·Tarifs

Will Trump visit China on...?

May 21 97.8%

May 23 97.8%

May 19 97.7%

May 17 97.6%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$34,953 Vol.

May 21 97.8%

May 23 97.8%

May 19 97.7%

May 17 97.6%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$34,953 Vol.

On or prior to May 1

$1,224 Vol.

1%

May 2

$1,285 Vol.

1%

May 3

$1,285 Vol.

1%

May 4

$1,284 Vol.

<1%

May 5

$1,152 Vol.

1%

May 6

$1,152 Vol.

46%

May 7

$1,139 Vol.

29%

May 8

$1,152 Vol.

49%

May 9

$858 Vol.

97%

May 10

$891 Vol.

98%

May 11

$896 Vol.

10%

May 12

$859 Vol.

10%

May 13

$1,901 Vol.

17%

May 14

$1,450 Vol.

22%

May 15

$1,664 Vol.

48%

May 16

$1,138 Vol.

6%

May 17

$858 Vol.

98%

May 18

$858 Vol.

4%

May 19

$893 Vol.

98%

May 20

$853 Vol.

98%

May 21

$893 Vol.

98%

May 22

$893 Vol.

97%

May 23

$878 Vol.

98%

May 24

$866 Vol.

53%

May 25

$893 Vol.

98%

May 26

$853 Vol.

98%

May 27

$874 Vol.

98%

May 28

$893 Vol.

75%

May 29

$874 Vol.

75%

May 30

$893 Vol.

75%

May 31

$893 Vol.

75%

No visit by May 31

$2,890 Vol.

21%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House confirmation of President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 14-15, rescheduled from late March amid the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz tensions, anchors trader consensus, with May 14 leading at 57% implied probability and May 13 close at 53% on potential arrival timing. The tight race among top dates reflects uncertainty over the precise itinerary, as diplomatic schedules often finalize late amid bilateral negotiations on trade, technology, and regional stability. Recent precursor developments, including Republican Senator Steve Daines' delegation to Beijing and Shanghai starting May 1, signal momentum, while ongoing Iran war dynamics keep delay risks alive—"No visit by May 31" at 21%. An official detailed schedule or Hormuz resolution could widen separation.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$34,953
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.White House confirmation of President Trump's summit with Xi Jinping in Beijing on May 14-15, rescheduled from late March amid the Iran conflict and Strait of Hormuz tensions, anchors trader consensus, with May 14 leading at 57% implied probability and May 13 close at 53% on potential arrival timing. The tight race among top dates reflects uncertainty over the precise itinerary, as diplomatic schedules often finalize late amid bilateral negotiations on trade, technology, and regional stability. Recent precursor developments, including Republican Senator Steve Daines' delegation to Beijing and Shanghai starting May 1, signal momentum, while ongoing Iran war dynamics keep delay risks alive—"No visit by May 31" at 21%. An official detailed schedule or Hormuz resolution could widen separation.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China.

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$34,953
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 3:29 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Will Trump visit China on...? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 32 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « May 9 » à 49%, suivi de « May 10 » à 49%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 49¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 49% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Will Trump visit China on...? » a généré $35K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 27, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Will Trump visit China on...? », parcourez les 32 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Will Trump visit China on...? » est « May 9 » à 49%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 49% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « May 10 » à 49%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Will Trump visit China on...? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.