Trump va-t-il réduire les tarifs douaniers sur le Canada d'ici...?
$347,324 Vol.
Dec 31, 2025
31 mai
$117,176 Vol.
Non
31 juillet
$172,949 Vol.
Non
December 31
$57,199 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that lowers, pauses, delays, or removes any tariffs on imports from Canada by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove any tariffs on Canadian imports will qualify, including changes to the reciprocal tariff, or any other existing or new tariffs specifically targeting Canadian goods.
Only the removal of tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, the removal of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S., or a tariff on specific Canadian provinces or entities, will not count toward this market’s resolution.
Item-specific tariff exemptions, such as those outlined in the U.S. Customs and Border Protection notice dated April 11, 2025, which excluded 25 HTSUS codes covering electronics, will not qualify.
Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that lowers, pauses, delays, or removes any tariffs on imports from Canada by May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove any tariffs on Canadian imports will qualify, including changes to the reciprocal tariff, or any other existing or new tariffs specifically targeting Canadian goods.
Only the removal of tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, the removal of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S., or a tariff on specific Canadian provinces or entities, will not count toward this market’s resolution.
Item-specific tariff exemptions, such as those outlined in the U.S. Customs and Border Protection notice dated April 11, 2025, which excluded 25 HTSUS codes covering electronics, will not qualify.
Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Actions that lower, pause, delay, or remove any tariffs on Canadian imports will qualify, including changes to the reciprocal tariff, or any other existing or new tariffs specifically targeting Canadian goods.
Only the removal of tariffs specifically targeting Canada will qualify. For example, the removal of the 10% general tariff on all imports into the U.S., or a tariff on specific Canadian provinces or entities, will not count toward this market’s resolution.
Item-specific tariff exemptions, such as those outlined in the U.S. Customs and Border Protection notice dated April 11, 2025, which excluded 25 HTSUS codes covering electronics, will not qualify.
Any action officially enacted within the market’s time frame will qualify, regardless of when the change goes into effect.
This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Créé le : Apr 16, 2025, 5:30 PM ET
Volume
$347,324Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025Créé le
Apr 16, 2025, 5:30 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trump va-t-il réduire les tarifs douaniers sur le Canada d'ici...?
$347,324 Vol.
31 mai
$117,176 Vol.
Non
31 juillet
$172,949 Vol.
Non
December 31
$57,199 Vol.
Non
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Frequently Asked Questions
"Trump va-t-il réduire les tarifs douaniers sur le Canada d'ici...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 mai" at 0%, followed by "31 juillet" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 0¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 0% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Trump va-t-il réduire les tarifs douaniers sur le Canada d'ici...?" has generated $347.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 16, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Trump va-t-il réduire les tarifs douaniers sur le Canada d'ici...?," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Trump va-t-il réduire les tarifs douaniers sur le Canada d'ici...?" is "31 mai" at just 0%, with "31 juillet" close behind at 0%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.
The resolution rules for "Trump va-t-il réduire les tarifs douaniers sur le Canada d'ici...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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Frequently Asked Questions