Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 85% implied probability that OpenAI CEO Sam Altman will testify against Elon Musk in the ongoing federal trial in Oakland, California, where Musk accuses OpenAI of betraying its nonprofit mission by pivoting to for-profit AI development. Musk took the stand Tuesday, delivering testimony blasting Altman for "stealing a charity" and warning of existential AI risks from closed-source models like those powering ChatGPT, intensifying the feud between xAI and OpenAI. With opening statements complete and the plaintiff phase advancing, traders anticipate Altman's appearance as a key defense witness to rebut claims of deception and mission drift, though a settlement or strategic avoidance remains a slim wildcard amid this high-stakes clash over AI governance and competitive positioning. Upcoming court days could confirm his testimony schedule.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 85% implied probability that OpenAI CEO Sam Altman will testify against Elon Musk in the ongoing federal trial in Oakland, California, where Musk accuses OpenAI of betraying its nonprofit mission by pivoting to for-profit AI development. Musk took the stand Tuesday, delivering testimony blasting Altman for "stealing a charity" and warning of existential AI risks from closed-source models like those powering ChatGPT, intensifying the feud between xAI and OpenAI. With opening statements complete and the plaintiff phase advancing, traders anticipate Altman's appearance as a key defense witness to rebut claims of deception and mission drift, though a settlement or strategic avoidance remains a slim wildcard amid this high-stakes clash over AI governance and competitive positioning. Upcoming court days could confirm his testimony schedule.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ET
Volume
$1,719Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 85% implied probability that OpenAI CEO Sam Altman will testify against Elon Musk in the ongoing federal trial in Oakland, California, where Musk accuses OpenAI of betraying its nonprofit mission by pivoting to for-profit AI development. Musk took the stand Tuesday, delivering testimony blasting Altman for "stealing a charity" and warning of existential AI risks from closed-source models like those powering ChatGPT, intensifying the feud between xAI and OpenAI. With opening statements complete and the plaintiff phase advancing, traders anticipate Altman's appearance as a key defense witness to rebut claims of deception and mission drift, though a settlement or strategic avoidance remains a slim wildcard amid this high-stakes clash over AI governance and competitive positioning. Upcoming court days could confirm his testimony schedule.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman provides sworn oral testimony in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR (U.S. District Court, Northern District of California), by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pre-trial depositions, written declarations, affidavits, filings, or recorded testimony not delivered live in court will not count.
This market resolves based exclusively on proceedings in Musk v. Altman et al., Case No. 4:24-cv-04722-YGR. Testimony in any other case will not be considered.
If this case concludes, is dismissed, or results in a mistrial without Altman providing qualifying testimony, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. court system (including transcripts, minute entries, or court orders). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,719Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 6:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 85% implied probability that OpenAI CEO Sam Altman will testify against Elon Musk in the ongoing federal trial in Oakland, California, where Musk accuses OpenAI of betraying its nonprofit mission by pivoting to for-profit AI development. Musk took the stand Tuesday, delivering testimony blasting Altman for "stealing a charity" and warning of existential AI risks from closed-source models like those powering ChatGPT, intensifying the feud between xAI and OpenAI. With opening statements complete and the plaintiff phase advancing, traders anticipate Altman's appearance as a key defense witness to rebut claims of deception and mission drift, though a settlement or strategic avoidance remains a slim wildcard amid this high-stakes clash over AI governance and competitive positioning. Upcoming court days could confirm his testimony schedule.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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