Amid a month-long US-Israeli military campaign featuring airstrikes on Iranian air defenses and nuclear sites—escalated by Israel's recent bombardment and US footage of operations—Iran retaliated with missile strikes on a Saudi air base injuring American troops two days ago, alongside attacks on UAE facilities and other Gulf states. Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Bahrain have signaled readiness for escalation and demanded curbs on Iran's missile capabilities in any ceasefire, but no independent strikes from them or others like France, Germany, or the UK—despite early March statements on defensive actions—have occurred. With just hours until the March 31 deadline, no announcements suggest new countries will join offensive operations against Iran.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$10,850,157 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
Émirats arabes unis
4%
Arabie saoudite
4%
Qatar
3%
Bahreïn
2%
Koweït
1%
Jordanie
1%
Royaume-Uni
1%
Turquie
1%
France
1%
N'importe quel pays de l'U.E.
1%
Oman
1%
Allemagne
<1%
Canada
<1%
$10,850,157 Vol.
Émirats arabes unis
$2,855,806 Vol.
4%
Arabie saoudite
$2,213,255 Vol.
4%
Qatar
$950,221 Vol.
3%
Bahreïn
$392,924 Vol.
2%
Koweït
$211,677 Vol.
1%
Jordanie
$189,690 Vol.
1%
Royaume-Uni
$948,392 Vol.
1%
Turquie
$481,803 Vol.
1%
France
$750,286 Vol.
1%
N'importe quel pays de l'U.E.
$473,070 Vol.
1%
Oman
$132,078 Vol.
1%
Allemagne
$912,757 Vol.
<1%
Canada
$339,709 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid a month-long US-Israeli military campaign featuring airstrikes on Iranian air defenses and nuclear sites—escalated by Israel's recent bombardment and US footage of operations—Iran retaliated with missile strikes on a Saudi air base injuring American troops two days ago, alongside attacks on UAE facilities and other Gulf states. Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Bahrain have signaled readiness for escalation and demanded curbs on Iran's missile capabilities in any ceasefire, but no independent strikes from them or others like France, Germany, or the UK—despite early March statements on defensive actions—have occurred. With just hours until the March 31 deadline, no announcements suggest new countries will join offensive operations against Iran.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
Volume
$10,850,157Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if any E.U. member state initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed entity's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Amid a month-long US-Israeli military campaign featuring airstrikes on Iranian air defenses and nuclear sites—escalated by Israel's recent bombardment and US footage of operations—Iran retaliated with missile strikes on a Saudi air base injuring American troops two days ago, alongside attacks on UAE facilities and other Gulf states. Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Bahrain have signaled readiness for escalation and demanded curbs on Iran's missile capabilities in any ceasefire, but no independent strikes from them or others like France, Germany, or the UK—despite early March statements on defensive actions—have occurred. With just hours until the March 31 deadline, no announcements suggest new countries will join offensive operations against Iran.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,850,157Date de fin
Mar 31, 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 28, 2026, 8:01 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Amid a month-long US-Israeli military campaign featuring airstrikes on Iranian air defenses and nuclear sites—escalated by Israel's recent bombardment and US footage of operations—Iran retaliated with missile strikes on a Saudi air base injuring American troops two days ago, alongside attacks on UAE facilities and other Gulf states. Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Bahrain have signaled readiness for escalation and demanded curbs on Iran's missile capabilities in any ceasefire, but no independent strikes from them or others like France, Germany, or the UK—despite early March statements on defensive actions—have occurred. With just hours until the March 31 deadline, no announcements suggest new countries will join offensive operations against Iran.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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