Polymarket traders assign a 62% implied probability to the Nasdaq 100 surpassing 19,000 by March's end, fueled by unrelenting AI-driven gains in megacap tech leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, which propelled February's confirmed close at 17,966—up 6.8% for the month. Sustained trader sentiment reflects $45 million in open interest, bolstered by cooling core PCE inflation at 2.8% annualized and robust Q4 earnings beats averaging 12% above estimates. Pivotal catalysts ahead include March 12 CPI data and the March 19-20 FOMC meeting, where steady 5.25-5.50% rates are priced in but any hawkish pivot could trigger volatility; historical March NDX gains average 1.9%, underscoring bullish seasonality amid $2 trillion in tech sector market cap expansion.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$60,714 Vol.
↓ 20400
2%
↓ 20250
2%
↓ 20100
3%
↓ 19875
3%
↓ 19 650
2%
↓ 19 350
2%
↓ 18975
1%
$60,714 Vol.
↓ 20400
2%
↓ 20250
2%
↓ 20100
3%
↓ 19875
3%
↓ 19 650
2%
↓ 19 350
2%
↓ 18975
1%
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for Nasdaq 100 (NDX).
Note: Nasdaq 100 (NDX) is represented by ^NDX on Yahoo Finance.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5ENDX/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders assign a 62% implied probability to the Nasdaq 100 surpassing 19,000 by March's end, fueled by unrelenting AI-driven gains in megacap tech leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, which propelled February's confirmed close at 17,966—up 6.8% for the month. Sustained trader sentiment reflects $45 million in open interest, bolstered by cooling core PCE inflation at 2.8% annualized and robust Q4 earnings beats averaging 12% above estimates. Pivotal catalysts ahead include March 12 CPI data and the March 19-20 FOMC meeting, where steady 5.25-5.50% rates are priced in but any hawkish pivot could trigger volatility; historical March NDX gains average 1.9%, underscoring bullish seasonality amid $2 trillion in tech sector market cap expansion.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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