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Qu'est-ce qui va frapper le S&P 500 (SPX) d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?

Market icon

Qu'est-ce qui va frapper le S&P 500 (SPX) d'ici la fin du mois de juin ?

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

$11,230 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$11,230 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 8 000 $

$0 Vol.

5%

↑ 7 700 $

$0 Vol.

10%

↑ 7 450 $

$349 Vol.

18%

↑ 7 300 $

$851 Vol.

27%

↑ 7 150 $

$0 Vol.

27%

↑ 7 050 $

$4,399 Vol.

28%

↓ 6 300 $

$2,271 Vol.

69%

↓ 6 000 $

$1,852 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has rallied to near-record highs above 5,400, propelled by softer May CPI inflation at 3.3% year-over-year and robust tech earnings, especially Nvidia's blowout results boosting AI optimism. Federal Reserve signals of steady rates at the June 11-12 meeting but potential September cuts have sustained trader bullishness, with the index up over 14% year-to-date amid election-year volatility. Elevated valuations and overreliance on mega-caps like the Magnificent Seven pose risks, while upcoming June 12 CPI data and Q2 earnings kickoff could trigger swings. Polymarket traders weigh these catalysts against recession fears, reflecting consensus on continued upside through June end barring major shocks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$11,230
Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 6, 2026, 9:32 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for June 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has rallied to near-record highs above 5,400, propelled by softer May CPI inflation at 3.3% year-over-year and robust tech earnings, especially Nvidia's blowout results boosting AI optimism. Federal Reserve signals of steady rates at the June 11-12 meeting but potential September cuts have sustained trader bullishness, with the index up over 14% year-to-date amid election-year volatility. Elevated valuations and overreliance on mega-caps like the Magnificent Seven pose risks, while upcoming June 12 CPI data and Q2 earnings kickoff could trigger swings. Polymarket traders weigh these catalysts against recession fears, reflecting consensus on continued upside through June end barring major shocks.

The S&P 500 has rallied to near-record highs above 5,400, propelled by softer May CPI inflation at 3.3% year-over-year and robust tech earnings, especially Nvidia's blowout results boosting AI optimism. Federal Reserve signals of steady rates at the June 11-12 meeting but potential September cuts have sustained trader bullishness, with the index up over 14% year-to-date amid election-year volatility. Elevated valuations and overreliance on mega-caps like the Magnificent Seven pose risks, while upcoming June 12 CPI data and Q2 earnings kickoff could trigger swings. Polymarket traders weigh these catalysts against recession fears, reflecting consensus on continued upside through June end barring major shocks.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Qu'est-ce qui va frapper le S&P 500 (SPX) d'ici la fin du mois de juin ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « ↓ 6 700 $ » à 100%, suivi de « ↓ 6 600 $ » à 100%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Qu'est-ce qui va frapper le S&P 500 (SPX) d'ici la fin du mois de juin ? » a généré $11.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jan 7, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Qu'est-ce qui va frapper le S&P 500 (SPX) d'ici la fin du mois de juin ? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qu'est-ce qui va frapper le S&P 500 (SPX) d'ici la fin du mois de juin ? » est « ↓ 6 700 $ » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « ↓ 6 600 $ » à 100%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qu'est-ce qui va frapper le S&P 500 (SPX) d'ici la fin du mois de juin ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.