The S&P 500 closed near 7,650 in mid-September 2026 after a modest pullback from its August high near 7,817, with traders weighing a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike in mid-September and spiking Treasury yields against resilient Q3 earnings growth led by AI-related capital spending. Strong year-over-year EPS expansion, particularly in technology and energy sectors, has underpinned forward estimates around $340–$350 for 2026, supporting market-implied odds for levels above current readings by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the October 2 employment report, September CPI release on October 14, and the October 28 FOMC decision, where fresh dot-plot projections could shift rate-path expectations and volatility measures. Geopolitical tensions and higher-for-longer policy signals remain primary swing factors for trader positioning through December.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$372,285 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ 9 300 $
5%
↑ $9,000
11%
↑ 8 600 $
9%
↑ 8 200 $
27%
↑ $8,000
45%
↓ $7,400
66%
↓ $7,200
43%
↓ $7,000
25%
↓ 6 200 $
13%
↓ $6,000
9%
↓ 5 800 $
7%
↓ 5 200 $
4%
↓ 4 500 $
4%
$372,285 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$446 Vol.
3%
↑ 9 300 $
$10,126 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$138 Vol.
11%
↑ 8 600 $
$31,871 Vol.
9%
↑ 8 200 $
$23,939 Vol.
27%
↑ $8,000
$583 Vol.
45%
↓ $7,400
$81 Vol.
66%
↓ $7,200
$415 Vol.
43%
↓ $7,000
$2,128 Vol.
25%
↓ 6 200 $
$60,226 Vol.
13%
↓ $6,000
$4,961 Vol.
9%
↓ 5 800 $
$44,511 Vol.
7%
↓ 5 200 $
$70,295 Vol.
4%
↓ 4 500 $
$62,517 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 closed near 7,650 in mid-September 2026 after a modest pullback from its August high near 7,817, with traders weighing a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike in mid-September and spiking Treasury yields against resilient Q3 earnings growth led by AI-related capital spending. Strong year-over-year EPS expansion, particularly in technology and energy sectors, has underpinned forward estimates around $340–$350 for 2026, supporting market-implied odds for levels above current readings by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the October 2 employment report, September CPI release on October 14, and the October 28 FOMC decision, where fresh dot-plot projections could shift rate-path expectations and volatility measures. Geopolitical tensions and higher-for-longer policy signals remain primary swing factors for trader positioning through December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Marché ouvert : Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$372,285Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Résolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.The S&P 500 closed near 7,650 in mid-September 2026 after a modest pullback from its August high near 7,817, with traders weighing a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike in mid-September and spiking Treasury yields against resilient Q3 earnings growth led by AI-related capital spending. Strong year-over-year EPS expansion, particularly in technology and energy sectors, has underpinned forward estimates around $340–$350 for 2026, supporting market-implied odds for levels above current readings by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the October 2 employment report, September CPI release on October 14, and the October 28 FOMC decision, where fresh dot-plot projections could shift rate-path expectations and volatility measures. Geopolitical tensions and higher-for-longer policy signals remain primary swing factors for trader positioning through December.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/. If, at market close on the final day of trading of December 2026, price data is unavailable from Yahoo Finance for any relevant period, price data from Wall Street Journal Markets, Google Finance, and Market Watch will be used, in that order. If price data is not available for the relevant period from any of these sources by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
Volume
$372,285Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETSource de résolution
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Résolveur
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed near 7,650 in mid-September 2026 after a modest pullback from its August high near 7,817, with traders weighing a 25-basis-point Fed rate hike in mid-September and spiking Treasury yields against resilient Q3 earnings growth led by AI-related capital spending. Strong year-over-year EPS expansion, particularly in technology and energy sectors, has underpinned forward estimates around $340–$350 for 2026, supporting market-implied odds for levels above current readings by year-end. Key near-term catalysts include the October 2 employment report, September CPI release on October 14, and the October 28 FOMC decision, where fresh dot-plot projections could shift rate-path expectations and volatility measures. Geopolitical tensions and higher-for-longer policy signals remain primary swing factors for trader positioning through December.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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